The red-hot Boston Red Sox (62-51) look to continue their winning streak as they host the Kansas City Royals (56-56) Tuesday night at Fenway Park with dominant left-hander Garrett Crochet (12-4, 2.23 ERA) taking the mound for Boston against newly-acquired Royals pitcher Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.78 ERA).
Boston enters the matchup riding a five-game win streak and has gone an impressive 20-7 since the start of July to claim the top wild card spot in the American League.
While the Royals have won four of their last five and sit just 3.5 games out of the final AL wild card position, they'll face a significant challenge against Crochet, who's been nearly untouchable with an 8-0 record and 2.44 ERA over his last 10 starts.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals matchup, our predictive model gives the Red Sox a 61% chance of defeating the Royals.
Boston Red Sox: 61% win probability
- Red-hot offense (568 runs scored, 4th highest in the American League)
- Perfect recent form (5-0 in their last five games, the only AL team on a five-game win streak)
- Home field advantage (4th in AL standings with a .553 win percentage)
Kansas City Royals: 39% win probability
- Anemic offense (416 runs scored, second-lowest in the American League)
- Inconsistent recent performance (3-2 in their last five games with an LWLWW pattern)
- Struggles against top-tier teams (9th in AL standings with .496 win percentage)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
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Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals preview
The red-hot Red Sox look to extend their five-game winning streak as they host the Royals in the second contest of their three-game set at Fenway Park tonight.
Boston's ace Garrett Crochet (12-4, 2.23 ERA) takes the mound riding an impressive 8-0 record since June 1, while striking out 86 batters over that span.
Kansas City counters with deadline acquisition Ryan Bergert, making his Royals debut after posting solid numbers (1-0, 2.78 ERA) in San Diego this season.
The surging Red Sox offense, averaging nearly five runs per game, faces a stiff test against a Royals pitching staff that ranks second in MLB with a 3.52 ERA.
While Boston has climbed to the top wild card spot on the strength of their 20-7 run since July, Kansas City sits just 3.5 games out of the final playoff position despite their offensive struggles.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals form
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