The Los Angeles Dodgers (-132) look to extend their National League West lead when they host the struggling St. Louis Cardinals (+110) in a crucial midweek matchup at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday night.
The contest features a pitching battle between Cardinals veteran Miles Mikolas, who has surrendered 60 runs across 108 innings this season, against Dodgers' promising right-hander Emmet Sheehan, who enters with an impressive 3.31 expected ERA through his first 25 innings of work.
With the high-powered Dodgers offense averaging 5.14 runs per game behind Shohei Ohtani's 38 home runs, the Cardinals' top-heavy lineup will need to find answers against a Los Angeles team poised for another deep postseason run.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 62% chance of defeating the Cards.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 62% win probability
- Elite offensive production (578 runs scored, 3rd highest in MLB)
- Strong overall record (65-48, .575 winning percentage ranks 3rd in National League)
- Home field advantage (Dodgers at 7.5% better winning percentage compared to Cardinals)
St. Louis Cardinals: 38% win probability
- Struggling defense (510 runs allowed, significantly higher than LA's offensive output)
- Recent inconsistency (WLWLL in last five games shows inability to build momentum)
- Middle-of-the-pack performance (.500 winning percentage ranks 8th in National League, well behind Dodgers' .575)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals preview
The Cardinals head to Dodger Stadium with Miles Mikolas taking the mound despite his struggles this season, having allowed 60 runs across 108 innings while opponents continue making hard contact against him.
Los Angeles counters with promising young arm Emmet Sheehan, who has impressed in limited action with just 13 runs allowed in 25 innings and a sharp 3.31 expected ERA.
While St. Louis leans heavily on the hot-hitting duo of Ivan Herrera (.307/.387/.476) and Willson Contreras, their lineup lacks depth with only three active batters sporting an OPS+ over 100.
The Dodgers' offensive juggernaut continues rolling behind MVP candidate Shohei Ohtani (38 homers) and a supporting cast featuring Will Smith's .324 average and solid contributions from Freeman, Pages and Muncy.
This matchup pits the Cardinals' top-heavy lineup against one of baseball's most potent offenses, with Los Angeles averaging over five runs per game as they look to extend their NL West lead in the dog days of August.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals form
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals head to head
Los Angeles Dodgers
50%
St. Louis Cardinals
50%
Jun 8, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
3 : 7
Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 7, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
2 : 1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 7, 2025
St. Louis Cardinals
5 : 0
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 18, 2024
St. Louis Cardinals
1 : 2
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 17, 2024
St. Louis Cardinals
5 : 2
Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 17, 2024
St. Louis Cardinals
6 : 7
Los Angeles Dodgers
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