MLB Best Bets Today: Expert MLB Betting Picks for 08/05/2025

The Pirates are in an excellent position to secure another win against the Giants on Tuesday night, having swept San Francisco in their recent three-game series in late July.

Pittsburgh will be facing Logan Webb, who has struggled lately by giving up six runs to the Mets and four runs against the Blue Jays in recent losses, while the Pirates will counter with Mike Burrows who was impressive in his last outing against these same Giants.

When these two pitchers matched up last week, Burrows dominated by allowing just one run over six innings with seven strikeouts while limiting San Francisco to only three hits.

The Pirates have shown they match up well against Webb, despite his 11 strikeouts in their last meeting, as they eventually won that game 2-1 in extra innings.

With Pittsburgh enjoying home-field advantage this time around and the Giants struggling on their East Coast road trip, the Pirates offer excellent value to continue their dominance in this matchup.

The Cleveland Guardians come into this matchup with positive momentum after winning consecutive three-game series against the Rockies and Twins, while the Mets have been struggling, recently getting swept by the Padres and dropping two of three against the Giants.

Cleveland's offense has been clicking lately, slashing an impressive .293/.351/.471 over the past week, while the Mets have been ice-cold at the plate with a dismal .206/.289/.297 line during the same period.

Logan Allen has been solid for the Guardians with a respectable 3.52 ERA in July, and he'll face a Mets lineup that has been particularly ineffective against left-handed pitchers recently, posting just a .547 OPS and 56 wRC+ across 116 plate appearances over the last 10 days.

The Guardians bullpen has been outstanding despite missing closer Emmanuel Clase, posting a 2.20 ERA and 10.2 K/9 over the past 10 days, which gives them a significant edge in the later innings.

With Clay Holmes showing inconsistency for the Mets, having surrendered four runs on eight hits in just 3.2 innings in his last outing, the Guardians should at minimum keep this game close enough to cover the +1.5 run line.

The White Sox-Mariners matchup on Tuesday sets up as a classic pitcher's duel with Bryan Woo dominating at home this season with a spectacular 2.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP across eight starts at T-Mobile Park.

Woo has been particularly effective against current White Sox hitters, holding them to a .158 batting average, .223 wOBA, and .316 slugging percentage in their limited history against him.

Chicago's offense has been anemic on the road this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game away from Guaranteed Rate Field, and they'll likely struggle even more in the pitcher-friendly confines of T-Mobile Park.

Davis Martin has shown promise for the White Sox despite his record, posting a respectable 3.84 ERA overall this season, and he should benefit from facing a Mariners team that has historically struggled to produce consistent offense at home.

The betting trends strongly favor the under in this matchup, as it has hit in 7 of the Mariners' last 10 games, and in 30 of 54 games when the White Sox are road underdogs this season.

The Athletics have found their stride recently, winning three straight with Luis Severino on the mound, who has turned his season around by allowing just 5 earned runs over his last 17 innings.

Severino has been particularly effective on the road with a 4-2 record and 3.03 ERA, which contrasts sharply with Washington's starter MacKenzie Gore, who has looked rough in two of his last three starts, pitching to a concerning 10.66 ERA during that stretch.

The Nationals lineup has struggled significantly against Severino, batting just .143 against him through 42 at-bats, while the Athletics' bats have heated up with a .279 average over their past five games.

Washington is currently mired in a five-game losing streak and features statistically the worst bullpen in MLB, having surrendered 27 runs over their past five games.

With Severino trending positively, Gore heading in the opposite direction, and the Nationals' bullpen being a major liability, the Athletics at plus money represent one of Tuesday's best values.

Tuesday's Cardinals-Dodgers matchup sets up perfectly for a high-scoring affair with two potent offenses facing vulnerable pitching at Dodger Stadium.

Miles Mikolas has been struggling mightily this season for St. Louis, allowing 60 runs in 108 innings with opponents making hard contact as evidenced by his .513 expected opponent Slugging Percentage and 12.0 Barrel Percentage.

The Dodgers boast one of baseball's most dangerous lineups, scoring 5.14 runs per game with Shohei Ohtani (38 HR), Will Smith (.324/.422/.541), Freddie Freeman (.306/.376/.485), and other power threats who should feast on Mikolas' offerings.

While Emmet Sheehan has shown promise for Los Angeles, the Cardinals still have enough offensive firepower with Ivan Herrera (.307/.387/.476) and Willson Contreras (15 HR) to contribute their share of runs in this matchup.

Recent trends support the over, as the Cardinals have gone over the total in three of their last five games, and three of Sheehan's last four starts have also gone over, making the over 9 runs a confident play.