The Detroit Tigers host the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park on Tuesday night in a clash between teams heading in opposite directions, with Detroit sitting atop the AL Central at 66-48 while Minnesota has tumbled to 52-60 after a fire sale at the trade deadline.
Adding intrigue to this matchup is Chris Paddack facing his former team after being traded from Minnesota to Detroit just over a week ago, coming off a strong debut that saw him dominate Arizona through six innings.
With the Twins having shed key contributors like Byron Buxton (injured) and multiple bullpen pieces in trades, Detroit looks to capitalize on their home advantage and recent momentum, having won six of their last eight games.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins matchup, our predictive model gives the Tigers a 61% chance of defeating the Twins.
Detroit Tigers: 61% win probability
- Superior offensive production with 552 runs scored vs Twins' 471
- Better run differential at +80 compared to Twins' -34
- Stronger recent form with 66-49 record (.574) vs Twins' 53-60 (.469)
Minnesota Twins: 39% win probability
- Poor offensive output ranking 12th in AL with just 471 runs scored
- Negative run differential of -34 indicates consistent struggles
- Below .500 record at 53-60 puts them 13 games behind Tigers in standings
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins | |
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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins preview
The Tigers enter Tuesday's clash riding momentum from Monday's 6-3 comeback victory, their sixth win in eight games, while the Twins continue their slide with five losses in six outings.
Detroit sits atop the AL Central at 66-48, powered by a balanced attack that ranks seventh in runs per game and backed by one of baseball's better pitching staffs, while Minnesota has fallen out of contention at 52-60 after a brutal trade deadline sell-off.
The storyline centers around Chris Paddack facing his former club after being dealt from Minnesota to Detroit on July 28, and he looked sharp in his Tigers debut by holding Arizona to one run through six innings.
Zebby Matthews takes the ball for the struggling Twins with concerning road splits this season, posting a 6.63 ERA away from home while the Minnesota offense has managed just 3.1 runs per game over their last 10 contests.
Detroit's power advantage looms large with Riley Greene's 26 homers leading a Tigers lineup that has doubled Minnesota's home run output over the past 10 games, creating a stark contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions.
The Twins' fire sale gutted both their lineup and bullpen, trading away key contributors and closer Jhoan Duran, leaving a depleted roster that appears to be playing out the string while Detroit pushes for October.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins form


Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins head to head

Detroit Tigers
33%

Minnesota Twins
67%
Aug 5, 2025
Detroit Tigers
3 : 6
Minnesota Twins
Aug 4, 2025
Detroit Tigers
6 : 3
Minnesota Twins
Jun 29, 2025
Detroit Tigers
3 : 0
Minnesota Twins
Jun 28, 2025
Detroit Tigers
10 : 5
Minnesota Twins
Jun 27, 2025
Detroit Tigers
1 : 4
Minnesota Twins
Apr 13, 2025
Minnesota Twins
5 : 1
Detroit Tigers
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