The Tampa Bay Rays (57-59) travel to T-Mobile Park on Saturday to face the Seattle Mariners (62-53) in what could be a make-or-break series for both clubs fighting to stay relevant in their respective divisions.
Seattle enters riding hot form with six wins in their last seven games and sits just 1.5 games back of first place in the AL West, while Tampa Bay has struggled recently with six losses in their last nine contests and trails the AL East by 11 games.
The pitching matchup features Tampa Bay's Joe Boyle, who's been sharp lately with a scoreless five-inning effort against the Dodgers, against Seattle's Logan Evans, who's allowed nine runs over his last two starts and could be vulnerable on the mound.
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays matchup, our predictive model gives the Rays a 75% chance of defeating the Mariners.
Tampa Bay Rays: 75% win probability
- Strong road performance with recent back-to-back wins in last 5 games (LWWLL)
- Better run differential with 524 runs scored vs 478 allowed (+46)
- Higher quality opposition faced in competitive AL East division
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays | |
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Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays preview
The Mariners enter Saturday's matchup riding high after sweeping the White Sox and winning six of seven, sitting just 1.5 games back in the AL West division race.
Tampa Bay counters with their own momentum despite recent struggles, as starter Joe Boyle has found his groove with a stellar 2.30 ERA this season and blanked the Dodgers over five innings in his last outing.
Seattle's Logan Evans faces pressure after getting roughed up in consecutive starts, surrendering nine runs across his last two appearances while the Rays have historically owned this matchup with six wins in the last nine meetings.
Both clubs boast strong bullpens ranking in the top 10 for ERA, but Tampa Bay's pitching staff leads in quality starts and WHIP despite playing without eight injured arms.
Cal Raleigh's 42 home runs anchor Seattle's offense while Junior Caminero paces Tampa Bay with 30 long balls, setting up an intriguing power vs. pitching battle at T-Mobile Park.
With Tampa Bay 11 games back in the AL East and Seattle chasing division leaders, this series carries different stakes but both teams need wins to stay relevant in their respective races.
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays form
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays head to head
Seattle Mariners
67%
Tampa Bay Rays
33%
Aug 28, 2024
Seattle Mariners
6 : 2
Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 28, 2024
Seattle Mariners
2 : 3
Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 27, 2024
Seattle Mariners
5 : 1
Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 26, 2024
Tampa Bay Rays
2 : 5
Seattle Mariners
Jun 25, 2024
Tampa Bay Rays
11 : 3
Seattle Mariners
Jun 24, 2024
Tampa Bay Rays
4 : 3
Seattle Mariners
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