The New York Red Bulls host Real Salt Lake on Sunday night at Red Bull Arena with both teams sitting outside the playoff places and needing points to boost their postseason hopes.
New York enters this clash struggling for form, having won just one of their last eight MLS matches despite recent cup success, while Salt Lake arrives with momentum from four wins in their last five league games including back-to-back clean sheets.
With the Red Bulls slight favourites at home but Salt Lake's away form looking sharp, this Western Conference showdown could swing either way as both sides battle to climb the standings.
New York Red Bulls vs. Real Salt Lake prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake matchup, our predictive model gives Salt Lake a 50.6% chance of defeating the Red Bulls.
New York Red Bulls: 49.4% win probability
- Red Bulls not represented in current league standings data suggests poor season performance
- Missing from top 15 table indicates significant struggles this campaign
- Lack of statistical presence points to relegation zone form or major underperformance
Real Salt Lake: 50.6% win probability
- Strong recent form with three straight wins (WLWWW shows momentum building)
- Solid defensive structure allowing just 1.25 goals per game (30 goals against in 24 matches)
- Clinical finishing with efficient attack despite fewer games played (26 goals in 24 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| New York Red Bulls | Real Salt Lake | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
New York Red Bulls vs. Real Salt Lake preview
New York Red Bulls return to MLS action on Sunday looking to snap out of a worrying domestic slump that's seen them win just once in their last eight league games.
Salt Lake arrive in New Jersey riding a wave of confidence after winning four of their last five MLS matches, including back-to-back clean sheets that have Pablo Mastroeni's side looking sharp defensively.
The Red Bulls have been caught between competitions, with their Leagues Cup run providing some respite but their league form remaining inconsistent under Sandro Schwarz.
Portuguese forward Diogo Goncalves has emerged as Salt Lake's most prolific shooter this season, averaging 2.72 shots per 90 minutes and registering five shots on target in his last two away games alone.
With only two points separating these teams in the Western Conference standings, this matchup carries real playoff implications as both sides fight for positioning in the final stretch.
The Red Bulls will need to find their scoring touch at home after managing just nine goals in their last eight MLS outings, while Salt Lake's recent defensive solidity could prove crucial on the road.
New York Red Bulls vs. Real Salt Lake form
New York Red Bulls vs. Real Salt Lake head to head
New York Red Bulls
25%
Real Salt Lake
75%
Jul 16, 2023
Real Salt Lake
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Mar 7, 2020
Real Salt Lake
1 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Jun 1, 2019
New York Red Bulls
4 : 0
Real Salt Lake
Mar 18, 2018
Real Salt Lake
1 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Mar 25, 2017
New York Red Bulls
0 : 0
Real Salt Lake
Jun 23, 2016
Real Salt Lake
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls
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