The New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium on Monday night, with both teams looking to build momentum in what has been an inconsistent season for each club.
The Yankees (62-55) enter as favourites despite recent struggles, having gone 4-6 in their last ten games, while the disappointing Twins (55-61) have collapsed since a strong May run and appear headed for another missed postseason.
Right-hander Will Warren takes the mound for New York looking to capitalize on his solid home form (2.88 ERA at Yankee Stadium), facing Minnesota's Zebby Matthews in what promises to be a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent offensive woes.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins matchup, our predictive model gives the Yankees a 54.33% chance of defeating the Twins.
New York Yankees: 54.33% win probability
- Strong offensive output with 596 runs scored, ranking among the top producers in the AL
- Home field advantage at Yankee Stadium provides crucial edge in close matchups
- Recent .525 win percentage shows steady performance despite inconsistent stretches
Minnesota Twins: 45.67% win probability
- Defensive struggles evident with 518 runs allowed, creating vulnerability against Yankees' potent lineup
- Road performance concerns as they sit fourth in AL Central with .479 win percentage
- Recent form shows inconsistency with WLWWW pattern, indicating difficulty maintaining momentum
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| New York Yankees | Minnesota Twins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins preview
The Yankees welcome Minnesota to the Bronx for their first meeting of the season, with New York holding a commanding 8-2 advantage over the Twins in their last ten encounters.
Minnesota's season has essentially unraveled since a promising 18-8 May run, as the front office waved the white flag at the trade deadline by shipping out talent rather than reinforcing for a playoff push.
Will Warren takes the mound for New York coming off a gem against Texas where he blanked the Rangers over five innings, and he's been particularly sharp at home this year with a 2.88 ERA at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees may have added Max Fried, Paul Goldschmidt, and Cody Bellinger in the offseason, but injuries to key starters like Gerrit Cole have exposed their rotation depth throughout the campaign.
Both offenses have struggled lately, with the Yankees managing five runs or fewer in eight of their last ten games while Minnesota averages just 4.0 runs per game on the road.
Zebby Matthews counters for the Twins, though the 25-year-old righty has been inconsistent with a 5.63 ERA in road starts this season.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins form
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins head to head
New York Yankees
67%
Minnesota Twins
33%
Mar 6, 2025
New York Yankees
4 : 8
Minnesota Twins
Feb 25, 2025
Minnesota Twins
5 : 4
New York Yankees
Jun 6, 2024
New York Yankees
8 : 5
Minnesota Twins
Jun 5, 2024
New York Yankees
9 : 5
Minnesota Twins
Jun 4, 2024
New York Yankees
5 : 1
Minnesota Twins
May 16, 2024
Minnesota Twins
0 : 5
New York Yankees
Betting on the MLB?
Sporting Post is your trusted hub for MLB betting coverage. We break down expert MLB predictions and deliver today’s MLB best bets with clear, data-driven analysis. Want secure and reliable options? Explore our top picks for MLB betting sites.
