The Colorado Rockies (30-86) bring their seven-game losing streak to Busch Stadium on Monday night, where they'll face a St. Louis Cardinals (59-59) team fighting to stay in the National League wild card race.
With Colorado sporting the league's worst pitching staff (6.02 ERA) and St. Louis holding a solid offensive attack that averages 4.39 runs per game, this matchup heavily favours the home side.
The Cardinals need wins to close their 4.5-game gap to the final playoff spot, while the Rockies are simply trying to avoid further embarrassment in what's been a disastrous campaign.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies matchup, our predictive model gives the Cardinals a 55% chance of defeating the Rockies.
St. Louis Cardinals: 55% win probability
- Middle-of-the-pack offensive production with 518 runs scored compared to Colorado's league-worst 436
- Solid home advantage in a competitive NL Central division where they sit 4th at .504
- Better defensive efficiency allowing 536 runs against versus Colorado's historically bad 765 runs allowed
Colorado Rockies: 45% win probability
- Historically awful record at 30-87 (.256 winning percentage) - worst in all of baseball
- League-worst run differential with just 436 runs scored and a staggering 765 runs allowed
- Currently on a five-game losing streak and haven't shown any signs of competitive baseball this season
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies preview
The Rockies roll into Busch Stadium carrying the weight of seven straight losses and a franchise-worst 30-86 record that screams seller at the deadline.
Miles Mikolas gets the ball for St. Louis after a brutal outing against the Dodgers where he lasted just three innings while surrendering five runs.
Colorado's offense has been anemic all season, ranking dead last in several offensive categories while averaging a measly 3.70 runs per game.
Hunter Goodman provides the lone bright spot for the visitors, leading the team with a .278 average and 22 homers despite the chaos around him.
The Cardinals sit just 4.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot at 59-59, making every game crucial as they chase October baseball.
Alec Burleson and Willson Contreras anchor a St. Louis lineup that should feast on Colorado's league-worst pitching staff that's surrendering over six runs per contest.
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