The Detroit Tigers (68-51) take their six-game AL Central lead on the road to face the struggling Chicago White Sox (43-75) on Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field in what should be a mismatch on paper.
Detroit has dominated this season series, winning five of seven meetings while the White Sox sit 24.5 games back and coming off a brief respite from their recent six-game losing streak.
With Jack Flaherty starting for the Tigers against Chicago's yet-to-be-announced pitcher, the visiting team looks to continue their recent dominance over a White Sox squad that ranks near the bottom in most offensive categories.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers matchup, our predictive model gives the Tigers a 72% chance of defeating the White Sox.
Chicago White Sox: 28% win probability
- Worst record in baseball (44-76, .367 winning percentage)
- Terrible run differential (-73) with only 462 runs scored vs 535 allowed
- Struggling offense ranks last in the league with just 462 runs in 120 games
Detroit Tigers: 72% win probability
- Second-best record in the American League (69-52, .570 winning percentage)
- Strong run differential with 583 runs scored vs 508 allowed (+75)
- Solid recent form despite inconsistency (LWWLW in last 5 games)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| Chicago White Sox | Detroit Tigers | |
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Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers preview
The Tigers roll into Chicago sitting pretty atop the AL Central, holding a commanding six-game lead over Cleveland while the White Sox languish 24.5 games back in last place.
Detroit's offense has been clicking all season, ranking 8th in runs scored and slugging percentage, with Riley Greene leading the charge with 27 homers and 87 RBIs alongside Spencer Torkelson's 25 long balls.
Jack Flaherty takes the mound for the Tigers after getting roughed up for five runs in his last outing, though he'd been solid before that stumble, allowing just six runs over his previous 20 innings.
Chicago's struggles at the plate tell the whole story of their season - they rank dead last or near it in virtually every offensive category, managing just 3.83 runs per game while Detroit puts up 4.8.
The White Sox did snap a six-game skid with Sunday's win over Cleveland, but they'll need to find some magic against a Tigers team that's dominated this matchup, winning 15 of the last 20 meetings overall.
With Detroit playing without several key pieces including outfielders Parker Meadows and Matt Vierling, Chicago gets a small window of opportunity to make something happen at home.
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers form
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