The New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday night at Yankee Stadium, with both teams looking to salvage something from disappointing seasons that fell short of expectations.
All-Star righty Joe Ryan (11-5, 2.79 ERA) takes the mound for Minnesota against Yankees rookie Cam Schlittler (1-2, 4.38 ERA) in a matchup that heavily favors the visiting Twins' ace.
With the Yankees having tumbled from AL East leaders to third place and the Twins already sellers at the trade deadline, this series finale offers both clubs a chance to build momentum for what remains of their campaigns.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins matchup, our predictive model gives the Twins a 75% chance of defeating the Yankees.
New York Yankees: 25% win probability
- Defensive struggles evident in 518 runs allowed despite high offensive output
- Inconsistent recent performance with mixed WWLWL form over last five games
- Poor run differential management scoring 611 but allowing 518, showing inability to capitalize on offensive production
Minnesota Twins: 75% win probability
- Better recent form showing resilience (LLWLW compared to Yankees' WWLWL)
- Superior run differential efficiency with 497 runs scored against 533 allowed versus Yankees' inflated 611 runs allowed
- Stronger divisional positioning within AL Central at .471 win percentage while Yankees sit third in AL East
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| New York Yankees | Minnesota Twins | |
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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins preview
The Yankees enter this series finale desperate to avoid an embarrassing sweep at home after their season has completely unraveled since the trade deadline.
Once comfortably leading the AL East, New York now sits in third place behind both Boston and Toronto, making every game crucial as they try to salvage their playoff hopes.
Minnesota brings ace Joe Ryan to the mound, and his 2.79 ERA and stellar road numbers give the Twins their best shot at taking a game at what's typically been a house of horrors in Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees counter with rookie Cam Schlittler, who's been anything but reliable in his five starts, allowing nearly 11 hits per nine innings and surrendering six home runs in just over 24 innings of work.
Both bullpens have major question marks after deadline moves, but Ryan's ability to eat innings could be the difference maker for a Twins team that's already shifted into evaluation mode for 2026.
New York's powerful lineup has gone ice cold lately, hitting just .209 over their last ten games, while Minnesota's offense has been equally lifeless at .243 during the same stretch.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins form
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