The Seattle Mariners head to Citi Field on Saturday to face a New York Mets side desperately searching for answers after losing nine of their last ten games.
Bryan Woo takes the mound for Seattle looking to exploit a struggling Mets lineup, while New York turns to rookie Nolan McLean making his major league debut in what could be a make-or-break moment for their playoff hopes.
With the Mariners chasing the AL West title and the Mets clinging to the final wild card spot, this afternoon clash carries significant postseason implications for both clubs.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners matchup, our predictive model gives the Mariners a 68.67% chance of defeating the Mets.
New York Mets: 31.33% win probability
- Struggling recent form with five losses in last six games (LLLWL)
- Weaker offensive output at 544 runs scored, 21 fewer than Seattle
- Lower division standing at 2nd in NL East while Seattle sits 2nd in competitive AL West
Seattle Mariners: 68.67% win probability
- Superior overall record at 68-55 versus Mets' 64-58 (.553 vs .525 winning percentage)
- Stronger offensive production with 565 runs scored compared to Mets' 544 runs
- Better recent form with WLLWW showing two wins in last three games vs Mets' LLLWL streak
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
| New York Mets | Seattle Mariners | |
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| Moneyline |
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners preview
The Mariners arrive in Queens riding the hot arm of Bryan Woo, whose 3.08 ERA and dominant 145-26 strikeout-to-walk ratio has been a cornerstone of Seattle's push for the AL West crown.
New York counters with rookie Nolan McLean making his MLB debut, a massive gamble for a Mets team that's dropped nine of their last ten and watched their wild card grip slip to just half a game over Cincinnati.
Seattle's offense gets a boost from Cal Raleigh's league-leading 45 home runs and Julio Rodriguez's consistent power, while the Mets lean on Pete Alonso's MLB-best 99 RBIs and Juan Soto's 29 long balls.
The pitching matchup couldn't be more lopsided with Woo coming off back-to-back wins versus an untested McLean stepping into the bright lights of Citi Field.
Both teams desperately need this win, but Seattle holds the cards with their proven starter facing a Mets lineup that's struggled to generate consistent offense during their recent skid.
With the Little League Classic looming Sunday, this Saturday afternoon clash could determine which team carries momentum into the showcase finale.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners form
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