The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins on Saturday at Rate Field, with both teams looking to salvage something from disappointing seasons as Minnesota sits at 58-68 and Chicago languishes at 45-82.
The Twins enter as -145 favourites despite their struggles, backed by starting pitcher Joe Ryan who brings a solid 3.65 ERA to the mound against Chicago's Davis Martin and his 4.29 ERA.
With Minnesota's slight edge in our predictive models showing a narrow 51-49 win probability, this matchup between two underperforming AL Central rivals could provide value for sharp bettors willing to dig into the numbers.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins matchup, our predictive model gives the Twins a 63% chance of defeating the White Sox.
Chicago White Sox: 37% win probability
- Worst record in baseball at 45-83 (.352 winning percentage), sitting dead last in AL Central Division
- Terrible run production with just 497 runs scored in 128 games, ranking among the lowest in the league
- Pitching struggles evident with 581 runs allowed, contributing to their league-worst -84 run differential
Minnesota Twins: 63% win probability
- Better overall record with 59-69 compared to White Sox's dismal 45-83 (.461 vs .352 winning percentage)
- Superior run differential with -45 (534 runs scored, 579 allowed) versus White Sox's brutal -84 (497 scored, 581 allowed)
- Recent form shows signs of life with wins in 2 of last 5 games including latest victory, while White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
White Sox vs. Twins Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Chicago White Sox | Minnesota Twins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins preview
The White Sox find themselves in familiar territory this season, sitting at 45-82 and continuing their struggles at Rate Field as they host a Twins squad that's been equally disappointing at 58-68.
Minnesota brings a slight edge in offensive production, averaging 4.2 runs per game compared to Chicago's 3.84, though neither club has set the world on fire at the plate this year.
Joe Ryan takes the mound for the Twins with a solid 3.65 career ERA and impressive strikeout numbers, facing off against Davis Martin, who's been battling consistency with a 4.29 ERA and a rough 7-20 career record.
The pitching matchup heavily favors Minnesota, as Ryan's 1.039 WHIP and 3.59 FIP suggest he's been much sharper than Martin, whose 1.322 WHIP indicates frequent baserunner trouble.
Both bullpens have been shaky this season, with Chicago's relievers posting a dismal 48.6% save rate and Minnesota's unit blowing 18 of 41 save opportunities.
With the Twins entering as road favorites at -145, this late-season matchup could come down to which team's starting pitcher can provide more innings and keep their struggling relief corps off the field.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins form
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