The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds at Dodger Stadium on Monday night in a crucial matchup that could shape both teams' playoff positioning, with the Dodgers looking to regain their NL West lead after falling behind San Diego.
Hunter Greene takes the mound for Cincinnati riding a strong 2.63 ERA as the Reds sit 2.5 games back in the Wild Card race, while LA counters with Emmet Sheehan despite recent struggles that have seen him allow 11 runs over his last three starts.
With the Dodgers' offense leading MLB in scoring but their pitching staff ranked just 18th in ERA, this series opener presents a fascinating clash between Cincinnati's improving form and Los Angeles' championship aspirations.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 64% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 36% win probability
- Struggling recent form with 2-3 record in last 5 games (Recent form: WLLWL shows inconsistency)
- Defensive concerns allowing 582 runs, significantly higher than Reds' 545 runs allowed
- Poor recent momentum despite strong overall record, suggesting late-season fade with only 1 win in last 3 games
Cincinnati Reds: 64% win probability
- Strong recent momentum with 4-1 record in last 5 games (Recent form: WLLLW shows resilience)
- Better run differential efficiency at 593-545 (+48) compared to Dodgers' bloated 676-582 (+94 but allowing too many runs)
- Solid middle-tier positioning at .519 win percentage shows consistency against quality competition
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Cincinnati Reds | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds preview
The Dodgers head into Monday night's series opener having lost their grip on the NL West lead, dropping to second place after a disappointing series loss to the Padres that has them trailing by a game.
Meanwhile, Cincinnati sits in a precarious fourth place in the Wild Card race, 2.5 games behind the Mets and desperate to string together wins after dropping three straight to Arizona following a promising three-game winning streak.
Hunter Greene takes the ball for the Reds with his 2.63 ERA looking sharp, though he's struggled against LA historically with a 1-2 record and 4.37 ERA in four career starts against the Dodgers.
The pitching matchup favors Cincinnati on paper, as Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan has been getting knocked around lately, surrendering 11 runs over his last three outings and looking particularly vulnerable at home.
Los Angeles still leads baseball in scoring at 5.14 runs per game behind Shohei Ohtani's 44 home runs, but they've managed just 3.67 runs per game in their last three contests as the offense has cooled considerably.
Both teams desperately need this series with playoff positioning on the line, making Monday's opener a crucial measuring stick for two clubs trying to find their footing down the stretch.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds form
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