The Milwaukee Brewers welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks to American Family Field on Monday night as two NL clubs head in opposite directions with different motivations driving their final month push.
Milwaukee enters with an 80-48 record and a commanding six-game lead atop the NL Central, while Arizona sits at 62-66 and battles to stay within striking distance of the final wild card spot.
With Brandon Woodruff taking the mound for the Brewers against Eduardo Rodriguez, who has struggled to a 5.40 ERA this season, the pitching matchup could prove decisive in what promises to be a pivotal four-game series opener.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup, our predictive model gives the Brewers a 68% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
Milwaukee Brewers: 68% win probability
- Best record in National League at 81-50 (.618 winning percentage)
- Elite run differential with +159 (666 runs scored, 507 runs allowed)
- Strong recent momentum despite mixed 5-game form (LLWWL)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 32% win probability
- Below .500 record at 64-67 (.489 winning percentage)
- Poor run differential at +10 (645 runs scored, 635 runs allowed)
- Inconsistent road performance as underdogs against division leaders
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Milwaukee Brewers | Arizona Diamondbacks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks preview
The Diamondbacks roll into Milwaukee riding a four-game winning streak after dismantling Cincinnati 10-1 Saturday, with Arizona desperately chasing that final NL Wild Card spot sitting 5.5 games back of the Mets.
Milwaukee's got their own concerns after dropping four of six games recently, though they still hold a comfortable six-game lead atop the NL Central and can afford to weather some rough patches.
Eduardo Rodriguez takes the ball for Arizona with plenty to prove after posting a bloated 5.40 ERA this season, though he's historically pitched well against Milwaukee with a 2.60 ERA in three previous starts against the Brewers.
The home side counters with Brandon Woodruff, who's been a steadying force since returning from injury with a sharp 2.47 ERA across eight starts this year.
Milwaukee's offense has been clicking at home all season, averaging over five runs per game, while Arizona's road offense has been more modest at 4.68 runs per contest away from the desert.
This series opener sets the tone for what could be a pivotal four-game set, with the Diamondbacks needing every win they can get while Milwaukee looks to maintain their division stranglehold.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks form
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