The Toronto Blue Jays look to extend their dominance at Rogers Centre when they host the struggling Minnesota Twins on Tuesday night, with the AL East leaders riding a strong home record against a Twins side desperate to snap a brutal losing streak.
Toronto's league-leading .266 batting average and powerful home offense will test Bailey Ober, who has surrendered 15 runs in his last three road starts, while the Blue Jays' Chris Bassitt aims to build on recent success despite mixed results against Minnesota historically.
With the Blue Jays holding a commanding 76-55 record and the Twins stumbling at 59-71 after losing eight of their last 10 games, this matchup presents a clear contrast between a team pushing for playoff position and another trying to salvage respectability.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins matchup, our predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 62% chance of defeating the Twins.
Toronto Blue Jays: 62% win probability
- Superior overall record at 77-55 (.583) compared to Minnesota's 59-72 (.450)
- Strong offensive production with 650 runs scored, ranking among AL leaders
- Better recent form with alternating wins in last 5 games (WLWWL) vs Minnesota's poor stretch
Minnesota Twins: 38% win probability
- Terrible recent form going 1-4 in last 5 games (LLLWL) showing current struggles
- Poor record at 59-72 (.450) puts them 18 games behind Toronto in standings
- Defensive issues evident with 604 runs allowed, significantly more than Blue Jays' 589
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins preview
The Blue Jays come into Tuesday night riding positive momentum after bouncing back from a Pittsburgh series loss with a strong showing against Miami, while Minnesota continues to scuffle with eight losses in their last 10 games.
Toronto's offense has been the story of their season, leading the majors with a .266 team batting average and .366 on-base percentage, with Bo Bichette (.304 average, 83 RBI) and George Springer (22 homers) anchoring a potent lineup.
Bailey Ober takes the ball for Minnesota despite some recent road struggles, surrendering 15 runs across his last three starts away from home, though he does carry solid history against Toronto with a 3.48 ERA in six career meetings.
The Twins desperately need offense from Byron Buxton, who's been their lone bright spot with 25 homers and a team-leading .270 average, as Minnesota ranks near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories.
Chris Bassitt counters for the Blue Jays, bringing an 11-7 record to the mound but coming off consecutive rough outings where he's allowed eight runs in his last three starts.
With Toronto sitting five games clear atop the AL East and Minnesota fighting to stay relevant in the Central, the stakes couldn't be more different for these clubs as they continue their three-game set at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins form
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