The New York Yankees visit Rate Field on Thursday night looking to keep pace in a tight Wild Card race, while the Chicago White Sox aim to leverage their MLB-best run line record against quality opposition.
Will Warren takes the mound for New York coming off a rough outing against Boston, facing Davis Martin who's been solid at home with a 3.30 ERA in ten starts at Rate Field this season.
With both offences heating up recently and starting pitchers showing vulnerability to hard contact, this American League clash could turn into a high-scoring affair in the Windy City.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees matchup, our predictive model gives the White Sox a 62% chance of defeating the Yankees.
Chicago White Sox: 62% win probability
- Home field advantage in late-season matchup (48-85 overall record but playing at home)
- Recent momentum with three wins in last five games (LLWWW form)
- Opportunity to play spoiler against playoff contender (Yankees fighting for postseason position)
New York Yankees: 38% win probability
- Road struggles as visitors against desperate teams (73-60 record includes tough road games)
- Defensive concerns with 573 runs allowed in 133 games
- Recent inconsistency with loss in last game after four-game win streak (WWWWL form)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
White Sox vs. Yankees Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Chicago White Sox | New York Yankees | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees preview
The Yankees head to Chicago for their first series of 2025 against the White Sox, carrying solid momentum after sweeping Washington and posting a 7-3 record in their last 10 meetings with the South Siders.
New York sits tied with Boston for the Wild Card lead at 73-60, though they trail Toronto by four games in the AL East and need to stay hot to make another playoff push.
Will Warren takes the mound for the Yankees coming off a rough outing against Boston where he surrendered five runs in just four innings, bringing a concerning 6.09 ERA in home starts this season.
Chicago counters with Davis Martin, who's been more reliable at Rate Field with a 3.30 ERA in 10 home starts and coming off a solid five-inning win against Minnesota.
The White Sox may own baseball's worst record at 48-84, but they've been surprisingly competitive against the spread with the league's best run line mark at 77-55.
Both offenses have been clicking lately, with New York plating 34 runs over their last five games while Chicago matched that with 33 runs in the same span, setting up what could be a slugfest at Rate Field.
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees form
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