The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night in a series opener that could seal another NL West Division crown for the defending World Series champions.
With Blake Snell (3-2, 1.38 ERA) taking the mound at Dodger Stadium against Arizona's struggling Zac Gallen (9-13, 5.13 ERA), the pitching matchup heavily favours the surging Dodgers.
Arizona enters this series playing spoiler after missing the playoffs entirely, while LA looks to maintain their multi-game division lead with just over a month remaining in the regular season.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 75% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 75% win probability
- Superior offensive production (694 runs scored vs Arizona's 667)
- Strong run differential advantage (+108 compared to Arizona's +10)
- Better divisional positioning (77-57 record, first in NL West)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 25% win probability
- Poor recent form with three losses in last five games (WWLLL)
- Struggling pitching staff allowing 657 runs, 147 more than LA
- Below .500 record at 66-69, sitting fourth in competitive NL West
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Arizona Diamondbacks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks preview
The Dodgers return home sitting comfortably atop the NL West while Arizona plays out a disappointing season that saw them fall from divisional round participants to also-rans in just one year.
Friday's pitching matchup tells the story of two seasons heading in opposite directions, with Blake Snell's dominant 0.90 ERA at Dodger Stadium this year standing in stark contrast to Zac Gallen's struggles both overall and specifically in LA, where he's winless in five career starts.
Gallen got roughed up for 10 hits in less than six innings during his only visit to Chavez Ravine this season, part of a campaign where he's surrendered 26 home runs and posted a bloated 5.13 ERA.
The Dodgers took two of three when these teams met earlier this year at Dodger Stadium, and they've been clicking lately with four wins in their last six games to fend off San Diego's brief challenge for the division lead.
Arizona managed a series split with Milwaukee in their most recent action, but they'll need more than Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s hot bat to slow down a Dodgers offense that ranks second in baseball with 5.18 runs per game.
With Max Muncy still sidelined and both teams dealing with bullpen injuries, this opener could hinge on how long each starter can stay effective in what shapes up as a crucial early test for Arizona's fading playoff hopes.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks form
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