The Chicago White Sox head to Target Field on Wednesday night looking to play spoiler against the Minnesota Twins in what could be a telling matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions.
With the White Sox sitting at 50-88 and the Twins at 62-75, both clubs are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, but pride and roster evaluation remain on the line as Shane Smith takes the mound for Chicago against Minnesota's Zebby Matthews.
The betting market favours the home side at -150, though the White Sox have shown they can compete as underdogs throughout this disappointing campaign.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox matchup, our predictive model gives the White Sox a 57% chance of defeating the Twins.
Minnesota Twins: 43% win probability
- Struggling recent form at LLWLW with inconsistent play
- Fourth place in AL Central at 62-76, 18 games behind division leader
- Run differential of -73 indicates consistent scoring problems throughout season
Chicago White Sox: 57% win probability
- Hot streak momentum with WWWLL recent form showing resilience
- Superior run differential compared to division rivals (-82 vs Twins' -73)
- Road underdog value as worst AL team that can catch opponents off guard
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox preview
The White Sox visit Target Field on Wednesday night carrying the weight of a lost season, sitting 38 games under .500 and staring at what could be one of the worst records in franchise history.
Minnesota hasn't exactly set the world on fire either at 62-75, but they'll send Zebby Matthews to the mound against Chicago's Shane Smith in what looks like a battle between two clubs already thinking about 2026.
Chicago's offense has been brutal all year, managing just 3.9 runs per game while striking out over 1,100 times, though they've shown occasional pop with 138 home runs.
The Twins counter with a slightly better attack that's produced 163 long balls, but their pitching staff has been equally generous, allowing 164 homers and posting a 4.47 ERA that ranks near the bottom of the league.
Matthews brings a concerning 5.75 ERA and 1.562 WHIP into this start, numbers that suggest Chicago might find some rare offensive success despite their season-long struggles.
With both bullpens ranking among the worst in baseball for save percentage, this could turn into the kind of messy, high-scoring affair that neither fan base particularly wants to endure.
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