MLB Best Bets September 21: Pitching Dominance and Hot Bats Drive Value

Sunday's MLB slate features compelling pitching matchups and key offensive angles that smart bettors should target. The Cubs and Reds wrap up their series with a total sitting at 9 runs, while struggling offenses and quality starters suggest the under has strong value. Meanwhile, veteran bats like George Springer continue to find success against vulnerable pitching, creating solid player prop opportunities across multiple games. Both starting pitchers are in excellent form with Jameson Taillon allowing just six runs over his past five starts while neutralizing power hitters effectively.Andrew Abbott has been stellar at home, allowing two runs or fewer in 12 of 15 home starts this season, showing remarkable consistency on his own mound.The Cubs offense has struggled significantly, scoring just eight runs over the past three days and sitting 20th in run production per game in September.Only three of the last 10 games between these teams have gone over the total, establishing a clear trend toward lower-scoring affairs.With Chicago missing key bat Kyle Tucker and both teams sending quality starters to the hill, this matchup has all the makings of a pitcher-friendly contest."},{"id":"1466d949-32ae-4cf8-8a3a-bbb7f17333ea","pickName":"Same Game Parlay: Under 9 + Austin Hays Over 1.5 total bases + Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 hits","oddsValue":"+475","partnerId":"","description":"This parlay combines the strong under trend with two solid player props that have historical backing and current form support.Austin Hays has dominated Jameson Taillon in past meetings, going 8-14 with three extra-base hits, showing he can handle the Cubs starter effectively.Seiya Suzuki has been consistent with hits in 62% of his appearances and performs better on the road, making the over 0.5 hits achievable.The under component is supported by both pitchers being in excellent form and the recent trend of low-scoring games between these teams.Combining the strong pitching matchup with two hitter-friendly props creates solid value in this same-game parlay structure."}],"homeTeam":{"name":"Reds","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/07/1753281228-team-logo-FI6NS3OY.png"},"awayTeam":{"name":"Cubs","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/07/1753281188-team-logo-G7I98EP0.png"},"venue":"Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio","matchDate":{"value":"2025-09-21T17:40:00.000Z","timezone":"America/New_York"}},{"fixtureId":"CQU65K2Q","id":"0975765f-449b-4aaf-ae58-b45e8a89b199","picks":[{"id":"45e29400-c7ed-487b-a02f-b972c3bad2b8","pickName":"George Springer Over 0.5 runs","oddsValue":"-120","partnerId":"","description":"George Springer has been a run-scoring machine with eight runs scored over his last 10 games, leading the Blue Jays with 101 runs this season.His outstanding .436 on-base percentage over his last 54 games has translated to 59 runs scored in that stretch, showing consistent ability to cross the plate.Springer owns Michael Wacha historically, posting a .353 average while going 6-for-17 against the Royals starter throughout his career.Wacha has been struggling lately, allowing 15 runs over his last four outings including seven runs in just 2.2 innings in his most recent start.The veteran right-hander struggles more against righties like Springer, seeing opponent OPS jump from .652 against lefties to .730 versus right-handed hitters."}],"homeTeam":{"name":"Royals","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/07/1753281349-team-logo-LD81H59H.png"},"awayTeam":{"name":"Blue Jays","logo":"https://storage.googleapis.com/kibg-uploads/uploads/2025/07/1753281611-team-logo-70WJD6H6.png"},"venue":"Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri","matchDate":{"value":"2025-09-21T18:10:00.000Z","timezone":"America/New_York"}}]" tablefooter=" Betting on the MLB?Sporting Post is your trusted hub for MLB betting coverage. We break down expert MLB predictions and deliver today’s MLB best bets with clear, data-driven analysis. Want secure and reliable options? Explore our top picks for MLB betting sites.

Game	Time	Pick
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