The New York Yankees are on fire with six straight wins and deadlocked with Toronto at 92-68, needing every victory in their chase for the AL East crown when they host the basement-dwelling Baltimore Orioles on Saturday.
With Cam Schlittler looking to build on his dominant performance against these same Orioles and Aaron Judge red-hot with multiple hits in three straight games, New York faces a Baltimore squad that has struggled mightily, losing five of eight while starter Tomoyuki Sugano carries a brutal 6.00 ERA this month.
The Yankees have owned this matchup recently, winning by multiple runs in five straight victories over Baltimore, but with division title hopes hanging in the balance, there's no room for complacency at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles matchup, our predictive model gives the Yankees a 59.33% chance of defeating the Orioles.
New York Yankees: 59.33% win probability
- AL East dominance with a 93-68 record (.578 winning percentage)
- Strong offensive production averaging 5.25 runs per game (846 runs in 161 games)
- Red-hot form with five straight wins (WWWWW recent form)
Baltimore Orioles: 40.67% win probability
- Poor defensive performance allowing 4.87 runs per game (785 runs against in 161 games)
- Inconsistent recent form with two losses in last five games (LLWLW)
- Bottom-half AL East record at 75-86 (.466 winning percentage)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds
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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles preview
The Yankees enter this Saturday afternoon clash riding a scorching six-game winning streak with their backs against the wall, deadlocked with Toronto at 92-68 in a fierce AL East title race.
New York has feasted on weaker competition lately, winning nine of their last 11 against struggling Central Division opponents and these same Orioles, who sit 18 games back in the division basement.
Cam Schlittler takes the ball for the Yankees coming off a dominant performance against Baltimore just five days ago, limiting the O's to three hits and one earned run across 5.1 innings.
The Orioles counter with Tomoyuki Sugano, who got absolutely shelled by this same Yankees lineup in his last outing, lasting just three innings while surrendering six hits and four earned runs.
Aaron Judge continues his MVP-caliber campaign and has torched Sugano this season, going 6-for-7 with two home runs and looking locked in during this crucial stretch run.
With the division crown hanging in the balance and just days left in the regular season, every pitch matters for a Yankees team that cannot afford to let up against an Orioles squad playing spoiler.
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