Tottenham and Crystal Palace face off in a compelling London derby with both clubs potentially distracted by upcoming cup finals just days away from this Premier League clash.
Spurs have struggled domestically this season, losing 11 of their last 18 league games while focusing on their Europa League campaign, while the Eagles have quietly established themselves with the seventh-best record in the league since Christmas.
With Palace showing impressive form against lower-table teams and Tottenham likely to prioritize their European final, Oliver Glasner's motivated side could extend their impressive away record against struggling opposition.
Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace prediction: who will win?
For today's Tottenham vs Crystal Palace matchup, our predictive model gives the Palace a 80% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Pre-game probabilities
Tottenham
Moneyline
Win %
20%
80%
Crystal Palace
Tottenham: 20% win probability
- Poor defensive reliability (57 goals conceded, 8th worst in the league)
- Inconsistent recent form (DLDLD showing inability to string together victories)
- Heavy reliance on attack (63 goals scored) without defensive balance
Crystal Palace: 80% win probability
- Superior recent form (DDDLL vs DLDLD for Tottenham, showing more consistency and fewer losses)
- Better defensive record (48 goals conceded compared to Tottenham's 57)
- Higher league position (12th with 46 points vs Tottenham's 16th with 38 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace preview
Tottenham's European ambitions have seemingly derailed their Premier League campaign, with Spurs languishing in the bottom half after a dismal run of 11 defeats in 18 league games.
Crystal Palace, meanwhile, are eyeing a top-ten finish with Oliver Glasner's men boasting the seventh-best record in the Premier League since Christmas.
This London derby arrives at a curious time for both clubs – Spurs are just days away from a season-defining Europa League final while Palace have Wembley FA Cup final preparations on their minds.
The Eagles have been particularly formidable against struggling sides, winning four of their five away trips to bottom-six teams this season.
James Maddison and Dominic Solanke are expected to return for the hosts, while Palace must navigate without the injured trio of Riad, Turner, and Doucoure.
In-form Ismaila Sarr could be the difference-maker for Palace after contributing 0.9 expected goals across his last two league appearances and netting twice against Villa at Wembley.