Brentford face their toughest test yet under new manager Keith Andrews when Aston Villa visit the Gtech Community Stadium, with the Bees reeling from a 3-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest and the departure of key forwards Bryan Mbeumo and potentially Yoane Wissa.
Villa arrive with their own concerns after a flat 0-0 draw against Newcastle, but their defensive solidity and historical dominance over Brentford - unbeaten in six league meetings - makes them clear favourites despite the home advantage.
With Ollie Watkins eager to score against his former club and Brentford's defence having conceded eight goals in their last three home matches, this clash promises to test both sides' early-season credentials.
Brentford vs. Aston Villa prediction: who will win?
For today's Brentford vs Aston Villa matchup, our predictive model gives Villa a 75% chance of defeating the Bees.
Brentford: 25% win probability
- Poor defensive record conceding 3 goals in their opening match
- Struggling in the bottom half of the table at 17th position
- Negative goal difference of -2 showing attacking struggles outweigh defensive issues
Aston Villa: 75% win probability
- Defensive solidity with only 0 goals conceded in their opening fixture
- Clean sheet record showing strong organisation at the back (0 goals against)
- Superior league position sitting 7th compared to Brentford's 17th place
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Brentford vs. Aston Villa Odds
Brentford vs. Aston Villa preview
Brentford face a daunting task as they welcome Aston Villa to the Gtech Community Stadium, still reeling from their painful 3-1 defeat at Nottingham Forest where they shipped three goals before half-time.
The Bees are dealing with significant upheaval under new boss Keith Andrews, having lost star striker Bryan Mbeumo to Manchester United while Yoane Wissa appears set to follow him out the door.
Villa arrive with their own concerns after a toothless display against Newcastle, managing just 0.2 expected goals in a goalless draw that highlighted their struggle to create chances going forward.
Ollie Watkins will be eager to break his scoring duck against his former club, having netted the winner in this exact fixture back in March when Villa secured a 1-0 victory.
With Brentford keeping just one clean sheet at home all of last season and already conceding eight goals in their last three home league matches, their defensive frailties could be exposed again.
Villa's hunger for another European campaign means they cannot afford another flat performance, especially against a Brentford side that has failed to beat them in their last six league encounters.