Leeds United host Newcastle United at Elland Road on Saturday evening as both sides look to bounce back from disappointing midweek results that highlighted contrasting issues.
The Whites were thrashed 5-0 at Arsenal despite showing promise in their season opener against Everton, while Newcastle showed character in their 3-2 loss to Liverpool but now face attacking problems with Anthony Gordon suspended and Alexander Isak's situation unresolved.
With Leeds boasting an impressive 21-match unbeaten home record but Newcastle holding a perfect record against promoted sides last season, this clash promises to test both teams' resilience under pressure.
Leeds vs. Newcastle prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Leeds vs Newcastle matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 75% chance of defeating Leeds.
Leeds: 25% win probability
- Woeful defensive record with 5 goals conceded in just 2 matches, worst among teams with 3 points
- Poor goal scoring output with only 1 goal scored, tied for second-worst in the division
- Inconsistent form pattern (LW) suggests vulnerability after setbacks, having lost their opening fixture
Newcastle: 75% win probability
- Superior goal difference despite similar points tally (-2 vs -2, but Newcastle's recent form shows improvement)
- Better defensive stability with only 3 goals conceded compared to Leeds' 5 goals against
- Recent momentum with a win in their last match after an opening loss, showing resilience
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Leeds vs. Newcastle Odds
Leeds vs. Newcastle preview
Both sides arrive at Elland Road nursing fresh wounds, with Newcastle's spirited comeback against Liverpool ultimately ending in heartbreak despite playing a man down for 50 minutes, while Leeds were humbled 5-0 at Arsenal after their promising season opener against Everton.
The Magpies' attacking options have been severely depleted with Alexander Isak's ongoing situation and Anthony Gordon's three-match suspension following his red card against Liverpool, leaving Harvey Barnes as the likely candidate to step up in the final third.
Leeds have managed just one goal across their opening two league fixtures, though their home fortress remains formidable with 21 consecutive matches unbeaten at Elland Road in league competition.
Newcastle's perfect 6-0 record against promoted sides last season suggests they know how to handle teams fighting to establish themselves in the top flight, though their current away form of four matches without a win raises questions.
The head-to-head record between these clubs tells a story of tight margins, with their last six meetings producing 17 goals but recent encounters trending towards lower-scoring affairs.
With both teams desperate to bounce back from disappointing results, this evening kickoff could hinge on which side better handles the pressure of needing a response.