The Chicago Bulls will look to extend their dominant run against the Miami Heat when the Eastern Conference rivals clash in a win-or-go-home play-in tournament game at the United Center on Wednesday night.
Chicago has swept all three meetings with Miami this season and enters with significant momentum after winning six of their last seven games, while the Heat stumbled down the stretch, dropping four of their final six contests.
With the Bulls holding home court advantage and the Heat potentially missing several key players, this elimination matchup features a desperate Miami squad needing to reverse their fortunes against a Chicago team that's found its identity without Zach LaVine.
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat matchup, our predictive model gives the Bulls a 57.75% chance of defeating the Heat.
Pre-game probabilities
Chicago Bulls
Moneyline
Win %
57.75%
42.25%
Miami Heat
Chicago Bulls: 57.75% win probability
- Recent momentum (Won 4 of last 5 games with WWWLW form)
- Superior offensive production (9660 points scored vs Miami's 9069)
- Better overall record (39-43 compared to Miami's 37-45)
Miami Heat: 42.25% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (9023 points allowed despite lower scoring output)
- Road disadvantage (traveling to face a Bulls team with home court momentum)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat preview
The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls face off in a win-or-go-home Eastern Conference play-in clash on Wednesday at the United Center, with the ninth-seeded Bulls carrying momentum from winning all three regular season matchups against the Heat.
Chicago closed the regular season on fire, winning six of their last seven games behind Coby White's 20.4 points per game and Josh Giddey's all-around contributions, while Miami limped to the finish line, dropping four of their final six contests despite Tyler Herro's 23.9 points per night.
The Bulls' home-court advantage came courtesy of their head-to-head sweep, including a 119-111 victory over Miami in their most recent meeting on April 9.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. enters with confidence after dropping 41 points in Miami's regular season finale, but the Heat will need far more defensive resistance after allowing Chicago to pour in 122 points per game in their three meetings this season.
The winner earns a chance to play for the eighth seed on Friday, while the loser's season ends abruptly—adding enormous stakes to a matchup featuring two teams trending in opposite directions.
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