Panthers vs Lightning Prediction & Odds - 4/28/2025

The Florida Panthers hold a slim 2-1 series lead over the Tampa Bay Lightning as they prepare to face off in Game 4 at Amerant Bank Arena in a battle between two offensive powerhouses.

Tampa Bay's scoreless performance in Game 3 has put added pressure on goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to outduel Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky in what has become a crucial turning point in this Eastern Conference first-round matchup.

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.

Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Best NHL sportsbook promos

Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning preview

The Battle of Florida heats up Monday night as the Panthers look to extend their 2-1 series lead against the Lightning in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round matchup at Amerant Bank Arena.

Coming off a 2-0 shutout victory in Game 3, Florida aims to tighten its grip on the series behind Sergei Bobrovsky, who has been stellar between the pipes.

Tampa Bay's high-powered offense—ranked first in the NHL with 292 goals this season—has mysteriously gone quiet, failing to convert on five power play opportunities in their last outing despite a typically deadly 25.86% conversion rate during the regular season.

Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy (.917 career save percentage) will need to maintain his elite form while hoping his teammates can solve Florida's defensive puzzle.

The Panthers' balanced attack has been bolstered by special teams success this season, converting 23.53% of their power plays while killing penalties at an 80.74% clip.

With both squads boasting considerable firepower and championship pedigree, this rivalry showdown promises intensity as Jon Cooper's Lightning squad faces mounting pressure to even the series before heading back to Tampa.

Key stats

1

Tampa Bay Lightning sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference with 102 points, showing strong overall form despite recent inconsistency (LWWLL)

2

Florida Panthers occupy 5th place in the Eastern Conference with 98 points, just 4 points behind Tampa Bay

3

Tampa Bay has a superior goal differential (+75 vs +29), scoring 294 goals while allowing 219

4

Florida has won their last 3 of 5 games (LLWWW) while Tampa has lost 3 of their last 5 (LWWLL), indicating momentum may favor the Panthers

Betting on the NHL?