Chicago vs Atlanta Prediction, Odds, MLS Picks 5/10/2025

Chicago Fire will look to extend their dominance over Atlanta United when they host The Five Stripes at Soldier Field this weekend, with Dimers' predictive model giving the home side a substantial 47.8% win probability compared to Atlanta's 29.0%.

Chicago enter the match with momentum from their 4-0 US Open Cup triumph over Detroit City, while Atlanta have struggled defensively, conceding in six consecutive matches.

With their head-to-head history favoring Atlanta (3 wins to Chicago's 0), but Chicago's current form suggesting a potential 3-0 victory, this MLS clash promises high stakes and plenty of scoring opportunities.

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.

Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.

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Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United preview

Chicago Fire welcome Atlanta United to Soldier Field with momentum on their side following an emphatic 4-0 US Open Cup victory against Detroit City.

The hosts have been inconsistent in league play but have shown serious firepower with 9 goals in their last 6 matches across all competitions.

Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities continue to be a concern, having conceded in each of their last 6 matches and shipping 12 goals during that stretch.

These teams played to a goalless draw in their most recent meeting back in April, but Chicago's home advantage could prove decisive this time around.

Fire manager Gregg Berhalter will need to navigate injuries to Chase Gasper and David Poreba, while leaning on the attacking trio of Zinckernagel, Cuypers, and Bamba to break down Atlanta's leaky defense.

Miguel Almirón, who scored in Atlanta's recent 1-1 draw with Nashville, remains the primary offensive threat for the visitors who have struggled to find consistency on the road.

Key stats

1

Chicago Fire (11th place) have won just once in their last 5 games with a DLLDL form, suggesting recent struggles.

2

Atlanta United sit 13th in the standings with only 2 wins in 11 matches, collecting just 10 points so far this season.

3

Chicago Fire have scored 18 goals while conceding 22, giving them a -4 goal difference that ranks 11th in the conference.

4

Atlanta United have struggled defensively, allowing 20 goals (third-worst in the conference) while scoring only 12 times in 11 games.

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