The Dallas Stars are on the verge of advancing to the Western Conference Final as they host the Winnipeg Jets in a pivotal Game Six showdown, holding a 3-2 series lead after the Jets' commanding 4-0 shutout victory in Game Five.
With both teams relying on stellar defense and goaltending throughout the series—each allowing just 13 and 11 goals respectively—Saturday's matchup at American Airlines Center promises to be another tight, low-scoring affair where special teams could make the difference.
All eyes will be on goaltenders Jake Oettinger and Connor Hellebuyck, as the Stars look to close things out at home while the Jets fight desperately to force a decisive Game Seven.
Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?
For today's Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 68.33% chance of defeating the Jets.
Pre-game probabilities

Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
68.33%
31.67%

Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars: 68.33% win probability
- Home ice advantage (50 wins overall in the regular season)
- Strong defensive structure (224 goals against, 3rd best in Western Conference)
- Balanced offensive attack (277 goals scored, tied for 2nd most in Western Conference)
Winnipeg Jets: 31.67% win probability
- Recent inconsistency (WLWWW recent form shows vulnerability)
- Road performance concerns (Away record likely weaker than overall 56-22 record)
- Potential defensive pressure (Despite strong season stats, 191 goals against suggests tight margins against top opponents)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
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Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets preview
The Stars are on the verge of punching their ticket to the Western Conference Final, needing just one home win to eliminate a stubborn Jets team that kept their season alive with a commanding 4-0 shutout in Game 5.
This series has been defined by stellar defensive performances from both squads, with goalies Jake Oettinger and Connor Hellebuyck stealing the spotlight while allowing just 24 combined goals through five intense contests.
Dallas has leaned heavily on Mikko Rantanen and Mikael Granlund for offensive production, but they'll need stars Wyatt Johnston and Jason Robertson to break out of their scoring funk to close out the series.
The Jets' defensive corps, anchored by Josh Morrissey and Neal Pionk, has effectively neutralized Dallas' attack throughout the series, though they'll need to generate more offense beyond their top line of Ehlers, Scheifele, and Connor to force a Game 7.
With both teams struggling to find the back of the net consistently, expect another tight-checking affair where special teams opportunities could ultimately determine who prevails at American Airlines Center.
The Stars' home-ice advantage and 3-2 series lead make them favorites, but count out Winnipeg at your own peril — they've shown remarkable resilience when facing elimination.
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