The NBA Finals continues with Game 2 tonight as the Indiana Pacers look to stun the basketball world again after taking a 1-0 series lead with their dramatic 111-110 comeback victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Despite oddsmakers installing OKC as massive 11-point favorites, the resilient Pacers have won and covered in all three of their playoff Game 2s and have remarkably won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
With Thunder's elite 68-14 regular season record and 62-34-4 ATS mark on the line, we'll break down whether Tyrese Haliburton and company can pull off another upset or if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's squad can avoid their first back-to-back losses since early April.
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Thunder vs. Pacers betting tips
The Thunder are expected to come out aggressively after their shocking Game 1 collapse, where they led for most of the game before losing at the buzzer.
Oklahoma City hasn't lost consecutive games since early April, showing remarkable consistency all season.
The Pacers committed 19 first-half turnovers in Game 1, a trend that's likely to continue against OKC's elite perimeter defenders like Lu Dort and Alex Caruso.
Thunder's playoff experience edge should show up early, as they look to establish control and avoid another late-game letdown.
With a 62-34-4 ATS record this season, OKC has been one of the most reliable teams for bettors, particularly in bounce-back spots.
Despite being heavy underdogs, the Pacers have consistently defied expectations throughout the playoffs, including their stunning Game 1 victory.
Indiana has won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs and has covered the spread in seven of their last eight playoff road games.
The Pacers have been double-digit underdogs three times since December 29 and not only covered but won outright in all three instances.
Game 1 wasn't even Indiana's best performance - they overcame 19 first-half turnovers and subpar shooting from key players like Haliburton, Nembhard, and Nesmith.
This spread feels significantly inflated, as oddsmakers continue to underestimate a Pacers team that's now just three wins away from an NBA championship.
Both teams have shown they can put up points in bunches, with the Pacers averaging 117 points on 49.6% shooting and OKC averaging 116.6 points.
The Thunder will be pushing pace after their Game 1 loss, looking to use their offensive firepower led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who dropped 38 points in the opener.
Indiana's offense thrives on quick decisions and ball movement, which led to five players scoring in double figures despite their turnover issues in Game 1.
The Pacers' defensive limitations (allowing 113.1 points per game) combined with OKC's need to attack should create a faster-paced contest.
With both teams shooting over 40% from three-point range and featuring multiple scoring threats, this total looks attainable as adjustments are made after the tight opener.
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