Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, MLB Picks 8/4/2025

The struggling Colorado Rockies (28-80) welcome the playoff-contending Toronto Blue Jays (64-46) to the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field on Monday in a matchup featuring two pitchers with vastly different career trajectories.

Eric Lauer takes the mound for Toronto with his respectable 4.12 career ERA, while Colorado counters with Tanner Gordon, who has struggled mightily with a 7.04 ERA and concerning 1.647 WHIP across his limited major league experience.

Despite the Blue Jays entering as heavy -210 favorites, Coors Field's notorious reputation for high-scoring affairs and unpredictable outcomes keeps this matchup intriguing.

At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.

Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.

Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays preview

The struggling Colorado Rockies (28-80) will look to defy substantial odds when they host the playoff-contending Toronto Blue Jays (64-46) in a Monday night clash at the hitter-friendly Coors Field.

Eric Lauer gets the nod for Toronto against Colorado's Tanner Gordon, whose rough 7.04 career ERA and 2-9 record looks especially vulnerable in Denver's thin air.

The Blue Jays' potent offense (.265 team average with 118 homers) should find plenty of opportunities against a Rockies pitching staff that ranks dead last in MLB with a bloated 5.65 ERA and 665 runs allowed.

While Toronto's pitching hasn't been stellar (4.27 team ERA), their bullpen has converted saves at a much more reliable 65.3% clip compared to Colorado's struggling 51.3%.

The Rockies' defensive woes (league-worst .978 fielding percentage) compound their problems against a Blue Jays squad scoring 4.7 runs per game, though Coors Field always presents the possibility for offensive fireworks from both sides.

Key stats

1

The Blue Jays sit atop the American League with a 65-48 record (.575), making them clear favorites against the struggling Rockies

2

Colorado holds the worst record in MLB at 30-81 (.270), sitting dead last in the National League by a significant margin

3

The Rockies have surrendered 695 runs this season (most in MLB) while scoring just 418, creating a massive -277 run differential

4

Toronto has been inconsistent lately with a LWLWL recent form, while Colorado shows slight improvement at LWWLL despite their overall poor season

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