The Atlanta Braves head to Citi Field on Thursday night looking to disrupt the New York Mets' NL East title charge, despite sitting 21 games below .500 and already out of playoff contention.
While the Braves have owned this matchup recently with a 7-3 record in their last 10 meetings, the Mets enter as heavy favourites behind ace Kodai Senga, who boasts a stellar 2.30 ERA this season.
With both teams combining for 35 runs across their first two games of this series, expect another offensive showcase when these NL East rivals clash at 7:10 PM ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves matchup, our predictive model gives the Mets a 54.33% chance of defeating the Braves.
New York Mets: 54.33% win probability
- Strong divisional position sitting 2nd in NL East at 64-56 (.533)
- Superior offensive production with 532 runs scored vs Braves' 515
- Better recent form momentum compared to Atlanta's struggles
Atlanta Braves: 45.67% win probability
- Poor record at 52-68 (.433), sitting 4th in NL East
- Defensive struggles allowing 536 runs, 21 more than the Mets
- Inconsistent recent play with WLWWW form showing volatility
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves preview
The NL East battle intensifies at Citi Field as the disappointing Braves try to play spoiler against a Mets team chasing division glory.
Atlanta's season has been a nightmare at 52-68, but they just took the opener of this series with an 11-6 slugfest behind Michael Harris's grand slam.
Bryce Elder takes the ball for the Braves despite his ugly 6.12 ERA, while the Mets counter with ace Kodai Senga, who's been brilliant with a 2.30 mark this year.
New York sits five games back in the division race with a dominant 39-21 home record, making this a must-win situation against their struggling rivals.
The recent head-to-head meetings have been offensive explosions, with 35 runs scored across the first two games of this series.
Both bullpens have been leaky lately, setting up another potential high-scoring affair between two teams headed in opposite directions.
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