The Arizona Diamondbacks head to Dodger Stadium for Sunday's series finale after striking first with a 3-0 victory in the opener, putting pressure on the Dodgers to respond at home.
Los Angeles enters desperate to maintain their two-game NL West lead over San Diego, while Arizona looks to play spoiler despite sitting 10.5 games back in the division.
The pitching matchup features Brandon Pfaadt, who's struggled mightily on the road with a 7.06 ERA, against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who's been solid for the Dodgers with a 2.90 ERA this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 75% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 75% win probability
- Superior win percentage at .566 compared to Arizona's .496
- Strong offensive production with 695 runs scored, 19 more than the Diamondbacks
- Better run differential at +100 (695-595) versus Arizona's +18 (676-658)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 25% win probability
- Lower win percentage at .496, sitting 8th in the National League
- Poor recent form going 1-4 in their last five games (WWWWL)
- Weaker pitching staff allowing 658 runs compared to the Dodgers' 595
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks preview
The Diamondbacks arrive at Dodger Stadium looking to build on Friday's 3-0 shutout victory that snapped the Dodgers' four-game winning streak, with Arizona now riding a three-game hot streak of their own.
Brandon Pfaadt takes the mound for the visitors despite struggling mightily on the road this season, posting a ghastly 7.06 ERA away from Chase Field with just two quality starts in 13 road outings.
The Dodgers counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who bounced back nicely in his last start with six solid innings against San Diego after a rough patch that saw him post a 5.60 ERA over his previous three appearances.
With Los Angeles clinging to just a two-game lead over the Padres in the NL West race, every home game carries extra weight as they look to maintain their division advantage.
Arizona sits 10.5 games back in the division but has been playing spoiler lately, winning seven of their last 10 contests despite their disappointing overall record.
The offensive numbers favor the home club significantly, as the Dodgers rank second in MLB with 5.18 runs per game while averaging an impressive 5.65 runs per contest at Dodger Stadium this season.
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