The Minnesota Twins host the struggling Chicago White Sox on Monday at Target Field, where a late-season clash between two teams heading in opposite directions promises different stakes for each side.
While the White Sox (48-86) continue their disappointing campaign with the worst record in baseball, the Twins (60-73) still harbor slim playoff hopes despite their own underwhelming season.
With Aaron Civale taking the mound for Chicago against Minnesota's Bailey Ober, both teams look to build momentum in what could be a pivotal series opener.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox matchup, our predictive model gives the White Sox a 56% chance of defeating the Twins.
Minnesota Twins: 44% win probability
- Inconsistent form showing 2-3 record in last 5 games (WLWLW)
- Poor divisional record sitting 4th in AL Central at .456 winning percentage
- Struggling offense with only 573 runs scored vs 636 allowed this season
Chicago White Sox: 56% win probability
- Recent momentum with wins in 2 of last 5 games (WLLLL form shows fight)
- Slightly better run differential at -92 vs Twins' -63 suggests competitive offense
- Road underdog value as visitors with nothing to lose in final stretch
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox preview
The White Sox trudge into Minneapolis carrying the weight of a 48-86 record and the stench of another lost season, facing a Twins squad that's equally disappointing at 60-73 but still mathematically alive in the wild card hunt.
Aaron Civale takes the mound for Chicago with a pedestrian 4.18 ERA, while Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, whose 4.04 mark represents one of the few bright spots in the Twins' underwhelming campaign.
Both offenses have struggled mightily this season, with the White Sox managing just 3.9 runs per game and striking out over 1,100 times, while Minnesota hasn't fared much better at 4.18 runs per contest.
The bullpen numbers tell a tale of two struggling franchises, as Chicago has blown 20 of 37 save opportunities and Minnesota sits dead last in save percentage at just 56.8%.
With the White Sox already sellers at the deadline and the Twins clinging to fading playoff hopes, this Labor Day matchup feels more like a formality than a must-watch affair.
Still, divisional games have their own rhythm, and both teams will be looking to salvage something positive from what's been a forgettable year in the AL Central.
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