The Minnesota Twins host the struggling Chicago White Sox at Target Field on Tuesday night, with both clubs sitting well out of playoff contention but plenty of pride left to play for.
The White Sox (48-88) have been one of baseball's worst offensive units this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game while the Twins (62-74) counter with slightly better production at 4.19 runs per contest.
With Davis Martin taking the mound for Chicago against Minnesota's Simeon Woods Richardson, the pitching matchup could prove decisive in what projects as a low-scoring affair between two teams looking to finish the season on a positive note.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox matchup, our predictive model gives the Twins a 66.5% chance of defeating the White Sox.
Minnesota Twins: 66.5% win probability
- Home field advantage with better offensive production (578 runs scored vs White Sox's 542)
- Superior run differential showing better overall balance (-64 vs White Sox's -91)
- Recent momentum with mixed but competitive form (LWLWL vs White Sox's inconsistent WWLLL)
Chicago White Sox: 33.5% win probability
- Worst record in baseball at 50-88 (.362 winning percentage)
- Massive defensive struggles allowing 633 runs (91 more than they've scored)
- Road struggles evident in their league-worst overall performance and poor run differential
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox preview
The White Sox roll into Minneapolis carrying the weight of a brutal 48-88 record, making this matchup feel more like a mathematical exercise than a September showdown.
Davis Martin takes the ball for Chicago with an ugly 4.32 ERA and career 8-20 record, facing off against Minnesota's Simeon Woods Richardson, who brings a respectable 10-10 mark but his own struggles at 4.44 ERA.
Both offenses have been anemic this season, with Chicago managing just 3.9 runs per game while Minnesota barely edges ahead at 4.19, setting up what could be a pitcher-friendly affair at Target Field.
The Twins' bullpen has been particularly unreliable with just a 56.5% save rate, while Chicago's relief corps sits even worse at 45.9%, meaning late-game leads are far from safe for either side.
With Minnesota needing every win to salvage respectability from their disappointing campaign, they should have enough motivation to handle a White Sox team that's essentially playing out the string.
The betting market reflects this reality, installing the Twins as solid favorites despite their own mediocre season, suggesting even modest home-field advantage should be enough against Chicago's historically bad road performance.
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