The Los Angeles Dodgers (77-59) travel to PNC Park on Tuesday to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-76) in a crucial late-season matchup that could help solidify their playoff positioning.
Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for Los Angeles against Pittsburgh's Mike Burrows, with the Dodgers favored at -128 despite playing on the road.
Los Angeles enters with the league's second-best offense at 5.1 runs per game, while Pittsburgh counters with one of baseball's stronger pitching staffs, ranking 8th in ERA at 3.90.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 67.5% chance of defeating the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 32.5% win probability
- Poor offensive output with just 500 runs scored, second-lowest in the National League
- Struggling record at 61-77 (.442), fourth-worst in the NL Central
- Recent form shows inconsistency with 2-3 record over last five games
Los Angeles Dodgers: 67.5% win probability
- Elite offensive production with 700 runs scored, third-most in the National League
- Strong winning percentage at .569 despite recent inconsistency
- Significantly better run differential at +101 compared to Pittsburgh's -62
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers preview
The Dodgers arrive in Pittsburgh carrying impressive offensive firepower with 201 home runs and 5.1 runs per game, second-best in MLB, but their pitching has shown cracks with a middling 4.08 ERA that ranks just 18th.
Clayton Kershaw takes the ball for Los Angeles, bringing his legendary 2.52 career ERA and over 3,000 strikeouts to the mound against a Pirates lineup that's struggled mightily, sitting dead last in runs scored at just 3.64 per game.
Pittsburgh counters with Mike Burrows, who's compiled a 4.21 ERA in limited action this season, facing the tough task of containing a Dodgers offense that's collected 216 doubles and walked 504 times.
The Pirates' saving grace has been their pitching staff, which boasts the eighth-best ERA in baseball at 3.90, but they'll need every bit of that performance against a potent Dodgers lineup.
PNC Park has seen the Pirates struggle to generate consistent offense all season, managing just a .234 team batting average while striking out 1,189 times, seventh-most in the league.
This matchup highlights the classic contrast between the Dodgers' offensive depth and the Pirates' pitching-first approach, with Los Angeles looking to capitalize on their significant edge in run production.
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