The Detroit Tigers look to continue their strong season push when they host the struggling Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park on Friday, with Detroit favoured at -128 despite Chicago's desperate need for wins.
With Shane Smith taking the mound for the White Sox against the Tigers' Jack Flaherty, this matchup pits Chicago's 26th-ranked offence (4.0 runs per game) against Detroit's solid pitching staff that boasts a 3.89 ERA.
The Tigers enter as heavy favourites with computer simulations giving them a 63% win probability, but divisional games often produce surprises regardless of records.
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox matchup, our predictive model gives the Tigers a 69% chance of defeating the White Sox.
Detroit Tigers: 69% win probability
- Strong offensive production averaging 4.8 runs per game (680 runs in 141 games)
- Solid pitching staff allowing just 4.2 runs per game (595 runs allowed in 141 games)
- AL Central leaders with an impressive .574 winning percentage (81-60 record)
Chicago White Sox: 31% win probability
- Worst record in baseball at 52-88 (.371 winning percentage)
- Defensive struggles allowing 4.6 runs per game (639 runs allowed in 140 games)
- Poor road performance as evidenced by being 36 games under .500
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds
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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox preview
The White Sox roll into Detroit carrying the weight of a brutal 52-88 record, but don't mistake their struggles for lack of fight as they face a Tigers squad that's been one of baseball's biggest surprises at 81-60.
Chicago's offense has been anemic all season, averaging just 4.0 runs per game while posting a team batting average of .234, though they'll face a Detroit pitching staff that's been solid with a 3.89 ERA.
The Tigers counter with Jack Flaherty on the mound, whose 3.80 career ERA and strong strikeout numbers give Detroit a clear edge over White Sox starter Shane Smith, who's managed just a 4-7 record in limited big league action.
Detroit's offense has been clicking at 4.82 runs per contest, nearly a full run better than Chicago, with 177 home runs powering their push toward October baseball.
While the White Sox bullpen has been a disaster with a 48.8% save percentage, Detroit's relief corps has been reliable enough to support their playoff chase with a 66.7% save rate.
This matchup feels like a microcosm of both teams' seasons, with the rebuilding White Sox playing spoiler against a Tigers team that can't afford to stumble down the stretch.
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