Friday night's MLB slate brings explosive value with superstars facing vulnerable pitching matchups across the board.
Aaron Judge takes on Kevin Gausman for the Yankees with a dominant .356 career average against the righty, while Kyle Schwarber gets a prime bounce-back spot against struggling lefty-killer Valente Bellozo.
Our expert analysis breaks down the top player props, NRFI opportunities, and same-game parlay angles that make tonight's 15-game slate one of the season's best betting boards.
MLB best bets
| Game | Time | Pick |
|---|---|---|
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Tigers vs. White Sox betting tips
The Tigers rank fourth in MLB with a .786 OPS at home while averaging 5.13 runs per game, creating an explosive offensive environment.
Chicago sends Shane Smith to the mound with a concerning 4.27 expected ERA and bottom 10th percentile hard-hit rate allowed.
Detroit counters with Jack Flaherty, who has been getting rocked lately with 20 runs surrendered across his last 26.2 innings over five starts.
The White Sox have posted a solid .739 OPS over the last 30 days, giving them the firepower to get to Flaherty early.
Weather conditions favor offense with 20 mph winds blowing toward the outfield, adding extra carry to well-struck baseballs.
Pirates vs. Brewers betting tips
Yelich leads Milwaukee in total bases and home runs while piling up 92 RBIs, sitting 22 clear of his closest teammate.
He's been an RBI machine with 12 RBIs over the Brewers' last 10 wins, and his clear rate jumps 29% higher in victories compared to losses.
Pittsburgh starter Johan Oviedo has benefited from luck with his ERA sitting 1.30 lower than his FIP over the past month, indicating regression is coming.
The Brewers offense ranks tied for second in runs per game and should get to Oviedo, who didn't pitch in the majors last season and posted a 4.31 ERA previously.
Milwaukee enters as clear favorites, setting up perfectly for Yelich to contribute in what should be a winning effort.
Orioles vs. Dodgers betting tips
Freeman is seeing the ball exceptionally well right now with 11 hard hit balls over his last six games, ranking behind only elite company like Yordan Alvarez and Brandon Nimmo.
He draws a favorable matchup against Baltimore's Dean Kremer, who has significant splits issues against left-handed batters.
Kremer has allowed a .200 ISO and 1.4 homers per nine innings to lefties compared to just .131 ISO and 1.0 homers per nine to righties.
Freeman profiles perfectly against Kremer's primary pitches, owning .274 and .400 averages against the fastball and splitter that Kremer leans on heavily versus lefties.
The combination of Freeman's current hot streak and this pitcher-friendly matchup makes this total bases bet extremely appealing.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays betting tips
Judge has absolutely dominated Kevin Gausman historically, hitting .356 with a .457 ISO and nine of 16 hits going for extra bases.
Gausman throws his fastball more than 50% of the time against righties, which plays directly into Judge's wheelhouse as he's hitting .297 with a .426 ISO against heaters this season.
When Gausman exits, Judge faces even more favorable conditions against Blue Jays relievers where he's 15-for-43 with a .488 ISO and seven homers.
Judge enters this crucial division matchup having not driven in a run in three straight games, setting up perfectly for positive regression.
The +120 odds provide excellent value for a player who has feasted on this specific pitcher and bullpen combination.
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