The Seattle Mariners (79-68) host the Los Angeles Angels (69-78) on Sunday at T-Mobile Park with playoff implications hanging in the balance for the home side.
George Kirby takes the mound for Seattle looking to continue his solid season (3.63 ERA) against struggling Angels rookie Caden Dana, who carries a concerning 7.83 ERA into this matchup.
The Mariners enter as heavy favorites at -132, backed by superior pitching depth and offensive production that has them scoring over half a run more per game than their visitors.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels matchup, our predictive model gives the Mariners a 72% chance of defeating the Angels.
Seattle Mariners: 72% win probability
- Strong AL West position tied for first place (81-68 record, .544 winning percentage)
- Excellent recent form with five straight wins (WWWWW)
- Superior run differential with 694 runs scored vs 652 allowed (+42)
Los Angeles Angels: 28% win probability
- Poor overall record sitting fourth in AL West (69-80, .463 winning percentage)
- Terrible run differential allowing 759 runs while scoring only 637 (-122)
- Inconsistent recent play going 2-3 in last five games (LLLWW)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Mariners vs. Angels Odds
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Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels preview
Seattle heads into this Sunday finale at T-Mobile Park needing every win they can get, sitting at 79-68 and still fighting for postseason positioning, while the Angels at 69-78 are playing out the string but could still play spoiler.
The pitching matchup tells the story of two franchises heading in opposite directions, with Seattle's George Kirby bringing his solid 3.63 ERA and 6.41 strikeout-to-walk ratio to face Los Angeles rookie Caden Dana, who's struggled mightily with a 7.83 ERA across just 25 innings of work.
Seattle's offense has been clicking better than their AL West rivals, averaging 4.67 runs per game compared to the Angels' 4.3, though both teams have shown power with over 200 home runs apiece.
The Mariners' pitching staff has been the real difference maker this season, posting a team ERA of 3.95 that ranks among the better units in baseball, while Los Angeles sits near the bottom at 4.79.
With the Angels' bullpen converting just 51.5% of save opportunities compared to Seattle's 62.3%, late-game situations could prove crucial in what shapes up as a must-win for the home team.
Dana will be looking to bounce back from early career struggles in what could be a make-or-break outing for the young right-hander facing a Mariners lineup that's struck out the third-most times in the league but knows how to work counts.
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