The Washington Nationals host the Chicago White Sox at Nationals Park on Saturday in a battle between two teams heading in opposite directions during the final stretch of a disappointing season.
While neither club is playing for postseason hopes, the Nationals enter as moderate home favourites at -160 despite both teams' struggles, with Washington's 65-94 record slightly better than Chicago's dismal 58-100 mark.
The pitching matchup features Sean Burke taking the mound for the White Sox against Washington's Jake Irvin, with the total set at 8.5 runs in what could be a more competitive game than the records suggest.
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Nationals vs Chicago White Sox matchup, our predictive model gives the White Sox a 61% chance of defeating the Nationals.
Washington Nationals: 39% win probability
- Worst pitching staff in baseball allowing 886 runs against
- Poor overall record at 65-95 (.406 winning percentage)
- Inconsistent recent form going 2-3 in their last 5 games
Chicago White Sox: 61% win probability
- Better offensive production despite struggles (634 runs scored vs Nationals' 681)
- Superior recent form momentum with 2-3 record in last 5 games
- Stronger road performance potential against weaker home opposition
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Nationals vs. White Sox Odds
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Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox preview
These two teams epitomize struggles in different ways as the season winds down, with the White Sox owning the worst record in baseball at 58-100 while the Nationals sit just seven games better at 65-94.
Chicago limps into D.C. averaging a meager 3.9 runs per game, ranking 28th in baseball, while their pitching staff has been equally porous with a 4.25 ERA that places them squarely in the bottom half of the league.
Sean Burke takes the mound for the White Sox sporting a 6-11 career record and 3.93 ERA, facing off against Washington's Jake Irvin, who carries a much more concerning 4.93 career ERA and 22-34 record.
The Nationals offense provides slightly more pop with 4.23 runs per game, but their pitching woes run even deeper than Chicago's, surrendering 5.34 runs per nine innings which ranks dead last at 29th in MLB.
Both bullpens have been unreliable all season, with Chicago blowing 22 of 46 save opportunities while Washington has managed just a 65.5% save rate despite ranking 9th in the category.
Saturday's matchup at Nationals Park represents little more than two rebuilding clubs going through the motions, though the White Sox enter as slight underdogs despite their historically poor campaign.
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