The Cincinnati Reds visit Dodger Stadium on Tuesday night as heavy underdogs in what promises to be a fascinating Wild Card matchup between two teams heading in different directions.
With Hunter Greene taking the mound for Cincinnati against Blake Snell and the powerhouse Dodgers offense that ranks second in MLB with 5.09 runs per game, the Reds will need their ace to keep pace in hostile territory.
Los Angeles enters as -275 favorites, but Cincinnati's solid pitching staff (3.86 ERA, 11th in baseball) and veteran playoff experience could make this closer than the odds suggest.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds matchup, our predictive model gives the Dodgers a 71% chance of defeating the Reds.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 71% win probability
- Elite starting rotation depth with multiple Cy Young caliber arms (Team ERA likely sub-3.50)
- Explosive offensive lineup featuring multiple MVP-level talents (Team OPS projected above .800)
- Strong bullpen with proven late-inning relievers (Bullpen ERA among league's best)
Cincinnati Reds: 29% win probability
- Inconsistent starting pitching beyond ace starter (Rotation ERA likely above 4.20)
- Limited offensive production in clutch situations (RISP batting average below league average)
- Road struggles against playoff-caliber teams (Sub-.500 record away from home)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds preview
The Reds head into Dodger Stadium with their wild card hopes alive, but facing a Dodgers squad that's been one of baseball's most complete teams this season.
Hunter Greene takes the ball for Cincinnati, and his 3.65 ERA suggests he's capable of keeping pace with the Dodgers' potent lineup that's averaging over five runs per game.
Blake Snell counters for Los Angeles with his 3.15 career ERA and strikeout ability that could spell trouble for a Reds offense that's struck out 1,415 times this year.
The pitching matchup favors the home side, but Cincinnati's bullpen has been quietly effective with 104 holds ranking sixth in the majors.
Los Angeles enters with clear advantages in both run production and defensive efficiency, while the Reds will need to capitalize on their road experience and Greene's big-game potential.
With playoff implications hanging over this series opener, expect both sides to empty the tank in what should be a classic October-style atmosphere at Chavez Ravine.
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