The Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers clash at Comerica Park on Tuesday in a pivotal Game 3 of their ALDS series, with the matchup deadlocked 1-1 and everything on the line.
Logan Gilbert takes the mound for Seattle against Detroit's Jack Flaherty in what shapes up as a pitcher's duel between two teams separated by just three wins in the regular season.
With the Mariners holding a slight 55% edge in betting models despite playing on the road, this contest could swing on which lineup can break through against elite pitching.
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners matchup, our predictive model gives the Mariners a 65% chance of defeating the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers: 35% win probability
- Inconsistent starting pitching leading to early deficits (Projected higher starter ERA and walks allowed)
- Struggles against quality left-handed pitching (Model shows reduced offensive output vs lefties)
- Poor defensive efficiency creating extra baserunners (Projected below-average fielding percentage and errors)
Seattle Mariners: 65% win probability
- Superior offensive production with consistent run-scoring ability (League data unavailable but model projects strong batting metrics)
- Stronger bullpen depth providing late-game advantage (Projected superior relief ERA and WHIP)
- Better situational hitting with runners in scoring position (Model indicates clutch performance edge)
At Sporting Post, our custom prediction model blends insights from leading MLB analysts to give you a clear edge.
Instead of sorting through endless opinions, we streamline expert picks, advanced team metrics, and market trends into one place. Our AI tracks top sources and assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These are averaged into a win probability that reflects the expert consensus. It gives you a data-backed view of what the sharpest minds in MLB expect.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds
These are the best MLB odds we found across major U.S. sportsbooks for this game.
Odds are based on the latest data at publication and are subject to real-time updates.
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Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners preview
The ALDS has reached its pivotal moment as Seattle and Detroit square off in Game 3 with the series deadlocked at one win apiece.
Logan Gilbert takes the mound for the Mariners carrying a solid 3.58 ERA and impressive strikeout rate, while the Tigers counter with Jack Flaherty, who brings postseason experience and a career 3.80 ERA to Comerica Park.
Seattle's offense has been clicking at 4.7 runs per game during the regular season, powered by 238 home runs, but they'll face a Detroit pitching staff that's been stingy in allowing just 4.33 runs per nine innings.
The Tigers have shown resilience at home throughout the year, and their ability to manufacture runs with timely hitting could prove crucial against a Mariners bullpen that converted just 62.3% of save opportunities.
Both teams enter with nearly identical offensive numbers, making this a classic pitcher's duel where small margins and clutch moments will likely determine who takes the series lead.
With the winner gaining crucial home-field advantage for the remainder of the series, expect both managers to pull out all the stops in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.
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