The New York Islanders visit Pittsburgh on Thursday night riding a seven-win advantage over the Penguins in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, but recent form tells a different story as the Islanders limp into PPG Paints Arena after a crushing 6-1 loss to Columbus.
Pittsburgh enters this matchup with momentum following a 3-0 shutout victory over the Rangers at Madison Square Garden, showcasing the defensive improvement that has them posting a solid 6-3-1 record over their last 10 games compared to New York's struggling 3-5-2 mark.
With both teams capable of lighting the lamp and the over hitting consistently in recent meetings between these clubs, this Atlantic Division clash promises plenty of offensive fireworks despite the Islanders' recent struggles on the road.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Penguins a 75% chance of defeating the Islanders.
Pittsburgh Penguins: 75% win probability
- Perfect start with shutout victory (1-0-0 record with 3-0 win)
- Dominant defensive play allowing zero goals in season opener
- Strong offensive efficiency scoring 3 goals on limited shots
New York Islanders: 25% win probability
- No games played yet this season (0 GP, 0 points)
- Lack of game rhythm and competitive sharpness
- No established scoring or defensive patterns from recent play
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Penguins vs. Islanders Odds
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders preview
The Islanders come into PPG Paints Arena fresh off a brutal 6-1 shellacking by Columbus, but their recent history against Pittsburgh tells a different story—New York has won seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Pittsburgh enters on a high note after blanking the Rangers 3-0 at Madison Square Garden, with backup Arturs Silovs posting a shutout in what was likely his audition for more starts.
The offensive numbers paint an intriguing picture: Sidney Crosby has been vintage with 12 points in his last 10 games while Pittsburgh's power play has clicked at an impressive 31% clip during that stretch.
For the Islanders, Bo Horvat leads the way with eight points over the past 10 contests, though New York's penalty kill has struggled at just 74.1% efficiency—a potential weakness Pittsburgh could exploit.
Both teams have shown they can light the lamp lately, with the Penguins averaging 3.2 goals per game in their last 10 while the total has gone over 5.5 in seven of the Islanders' past 10 road games.
Ilya Sorokin gets the nod for New York despite the recent blowout loss, and his .933 save percentage over the last 10 games suggests he's due for a bounce-back performance.
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