With Nottingham Forest riding high after their FA Cup triumph over Brighton, they'll be eyeing a crucial victory to bolster their remarkable push for Champions League qualification against a struggling Manchester United side languishing in 13th place.
Nuno Espírito Santo's men hold the psychological edge having won their last league encounter 3-2, while the visitors' injury crisis - with six first-team players potentially missing - could prove decisive despite their recent 3-0 dismantling of Leicester.
All eyes will be on the City Ground tonight as Nottingham Forest's eight-match unbeaten home streak faces its next test when a Manchester United side desperate to salvage something from their forgettable season comes calling.
Nottingham vs. Manchester Utd prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Nottingham vs Manchester Utd matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 77.5% chance of defeating the Red Devils.
Pre-game probabilities

Nottingham
Moneyline
Win %
77.5%
22.5%

Manchester Utd
Nottingham: 77.5% win probability
- Impressive league position (3rd place with 54 points compared to United's 13th place)
- Strong recent form (WWDLL) with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
- Solid defensive record (35 goals conceded, better than Man Utd's 40)
Manchester Utd: 22.5% win probability
- Poor away form contributing to their mid-table position (13th with 37 points)
- Inconsistent recent results (WDWDL) showing inability to string together wins
- Defensive vulnerabilities (40 goals conceded, worse than Nottingham's 35)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
Nottingham | Manchester Utd | Draw | |
---|---|---|---|
Match Result |
Nottingham vs. Manchester Utd preview
Nottingham Forest's City Ground is buzzing with anticipation as they look to capitalize on their unbeaten home streak against a Manchester United side struggling to find consistency this season.
The Reds, still riding high after their FA Cup penalty shootout victory over Brighton, have been rock-solid at home with no losses in their last eight league matches at the City Ground.
Man United might've thumped Leicester 3-0 in their last outing, with Højlund, Garnacho and Fernandes all finding the net, but their 13th place standing in the table tells the real story of their disappointing campaign.
The recent head-to-head between these clubs has been fascinating – Forest took all three points in their December clash at Old Trafford with a gutsy 3-2 win, suggesting they've figured out how to handle the Red Devils.
Nuno Espírito Santo will likely unleash the pacey Callum Hudson-Odoi from the start, while Morgan Gibbs-White, who scored in their last meeting, poses a serious creative threat through the middle.
United's lengthy injury list doesn't help their cause – they'll be without Martinez, Diallo, Evans, Shaw, and Mainoo, with doubts also hanging over Yoro and Maguire.
Bruno Fernandes remains United's heartbeat in midfield, but Forest's home advantage and superior form make them favorites to edge this one.
Expect a tight, tense affair with Forest's home support potentially making the difference in what could be a crucial match for their Champions League ambitions.
Nottingham vs. Manchester Utd form


Nottingham vs. Manchester Utd head to head

Nottingham
33%

Manchester Utd
67%
Dec 7, 2024
Manchester Utd
2 : 3
Nottingham
Feb 28, 2024
Nottingham
0 : 1
Manchester Utd
Dec 30, 2023
Nottingham
2 : 1
Manchester Utd
Aug 26, 2023
Manchester Utd
3 : 2
Nottingham
Apr 16, 2023
Nottingham
0 : 2
Manchester Utd
Feb 1, 2023
Manchester Utd
2 : 0
Nottingham