Pep Guardiola's men welcome a Leicester side in free fall, with the Foxes having lost 13 of their last 14 league games and managed just four goals during that miserable run.
The absence of Erling Haaland might not matter much for the hosts, as Omar Marmoush's impressive form—four league goals at the Etihad since January—gives City plenty of firepower against the league's most shot-shy attack.
All signs point to a comfortable afternoon for Manchester City vs Leicester, though the visitors' desperate situation might just inspire an unexpected performance from van Nistelrooy's men.
Manchester City vs. Leicester prediction: who will win?
For today's Manchester City vs Leicester matchup, our predictive model gives the City a 80% chance of defeating the Foxes.
Pre-game probabilities
Manchester City
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Leicester
Manchester City: 80% win probability
- Powerful attack (55 goals scored this season, 5th highest in the league)
- Strong home record (positioned 5th in the table with 48 points)
- Recent upturn in form (won 2 of their last 5 matches with 'DLWLW' form)
Leicester: 20% win probability
- Dreadful recent form (lost all 5 recent matches - 'LLLLL')
- Catastrophic defensive record (65 goals conceded, 2nd worst in the league)
- Poor away performance (sitting 19th in the table with just 17 points from 29 matches)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Manchester City | Leicester | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Manchester City vs. Leicester preview
Man City will be looking to continue their winning ways against a Leicester side in absolute freefall, having lost a staggering 13 of their last 14 Premier League matches.
The Citizens have historically dominated this fixture, winning nine of their last ten meetings with the Foxes, and their record against newly promoted teams (21 wins from 22) suggests another comfortable afternoon at the Etihad.
Leicester's goal drought has reached crisis levels – they've managed just four goals in their last 14 league games and have been shut out in 12 of 29 matches this season, more than any other Premier League side.
Egyptian forward Omar Marmoush could be the man to watch for City, especially with Erling Haaland doubtful with an ankle issue; Marmoush has already netted four league goals at the Etihad since his January arrival and was on target in the FA Cup win against Bournemouth last weekend.
City's injury woes continue with Akanji, Stones, Haaland, Aké and Rodri all potentially unavailable, though that hardly seems to matter against a team that's been outscored 35-4 in their recent 14-match stretch.
Young talent Nico O'Reilly provided two assists off the bench against Bournemouth and might get his chance to shine, having played just 23 minutes of Premier League football this season.
The last meeting between these two ended in a 2-0 win for City back in December, with Savinho and Haaland finding the net.
Despite their recent defensive vulnerabilities – conceding in five of their previous six matches – City should comfortably handle a Leicester attack that's been utterly toothless on the road.
Manchester City vs. Leicester form
Manchester City vs. Leicester head to head
Manchester City
83%
Leicester
17%
Dec 29, 2024
Leicester
0 : 2
Manchester City
Apr 15, 2023
Manchester City
3 : 1
Leicester
Oct 29, 2022
Leicester
0 : 1
Manchester City
Dec 26, 2021
Manchester City
6 : 3
Leicester
Sep 11, 2021
Leicester
0 : 1
Manchester City
Aug 7, 2021
Leicester
1 : 0
Manchester City
