Eddie Howe's Newcastle side enter this Premier League clash riding high on a four-match winning streak, having dismantled Leicester City 3-0 in their previous outing with Jacob Murphy and Harvey Barnes finding the net.
The Magpies enjoy a psychological edge over Rúben Amorim's Red Devils, having won four of their last six encounters including a commanding 2-0 victory in their most recent meeting, while United haven't beaten Newcastle away in their last three visits.
All eyes will be on St. James' Park this Sunday as the in-form home team looks to continue their push for a top-four finish against an away team struggling for consistency in mid-table.
Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd prediction: who will win?
For today's Newcastle vs Manchester Utd matchup, our predictive model gives the Magpies a 82.5% chance of defeating the Red Devils.
Pre-game probabilities
Newcastle
Moneyline
Win %
82.5%
17.5%
Manchester Utd
Newcastle: 82.5% win probability
- Excellent recent form (WWWLW) with four wins in their last five matches
- Potent attacking record with 52 goals scored in 30 matches (1.73 goals per game)
- Solid defensive unit conceding only 39 goals in 30 matches (1.3 per game)
Manchester Utd: 17.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (DLWDW) with only one win in their last five matches
- Struggling attack with only 37 goals scored in 31 matches (1.19 goals per game)
- Inconsistent results with 10 losses and 8 draws from 31 matches played
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Newcastle | Manchester Utd | Draw | |
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| Match Result |
Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd preview
Newcastle United are red-hot heading into this weekend's clash with Manchester United, having racked up four consecutive victories including that impressive 3-0 dismantling of Leicester City where Jacob Murphy bagged a quick-fire double.
The Magpies have dominated recent meetings against the Red Devils, winning four of their last six encounters including a comfortable 2-0 victory in their previous Premier League matchup.
Eddie Howe's men look formidable at St. James' Park, where they're unbeaten in their last two league matches, while Man United have failed to win in their last three away trips to Newcastle.
Ruben Amorim's side come into this one after a goalless draw in the Manchester derby and a 2-2 European stalemate with Lyon, leaving them languishing in mid-table with seemingly little to play for.
Both teams have injury concerns—Newcastle missing Botman, Lascelles and Hall, while United are without Evans, Heaven, Diallo and Martínez.
The return of Anthony Gordon to Newcastle's starting lineup could prove decisive, giving the hosts additional firepower alongside the in-form Alexander Isak.
Man United will be boosted by Kobbie Mainoo's recovery from injury, but they'll face a tough task breaking down a Newcastle defense that's conceded just six goals in their last six outings.
Given Newcastle's superb form and home advantage, coupled with United's recent struggles on Tyneside, Howe's men look well-positioned to continue their winning streak in what should be a captivating Premier League encounter.
Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd form
Newcastle vs. Manchester Utd head to head
Newcastle
67%
Manchester Utd
33%
Dec 30, 2024
Manchester Utd
0 : 2
Newcastle
May 15, 2024
Manchester Utd
3 : 2
Newcastle
Dec 2, 2023
Newcastle
1 : 0
Manchester Utd
Nov 1, 2023
Manchester Utd
0 : 3
Newcastle
Apr 2, 2023
Newcastle
2 : 0
Manchester Utd
Feb 26, 2023
Manchester Utd
2 : 0
Newcastle
