Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Newly-crowned Premier League champions Liverpool face a wounded Arsenal side at Anfield this Sunday in a clash that could further cement the Reds' dominance this season.

Arsenal enter the fixture in poor form after crashing out of the Champions League to PSG and suffering a surprising 2-1 defeat to Bournemouth, while missing key players Gabriel and Kai Havertz.

Liverpool, despite a 3-1 stumble against Chelsea last weekend, will be boosted by the returns of Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister as they look to extend their impressive 14-match unbeaten home record against the Gunners.

Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction: who will win?

For today's Liverpool vs Arsenal matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 73.33% chance of defeating the Gunners.

Liverpool: 73.33% win probability

Dominant attacking force (81 goals scored, league-best)
Exceptional home record (25 wins overall, most in the league)
Strong recent form (LWWWL with 3 wins in last 5 matches)

Arsenal: 26.67% win probability

Struggles to convert draws into wins (13 draws, most in the league)
Inconsistent recent form (LDWDD with only 1 win in last 5 matches)
Goal-scoring deficiency compared to Liverpool (64 goals vs Liverpool's 81)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Liverpool vs. Arsenal odds

Here are the latest odds as Liverpool host Arsenal in a key Premier League clash on Sunday, May 11.

	Liverpool	Arsenal	Draw
Match Result	11/10 (via William Hill)	12/5 (via Betway UK)	5/2 ( via Betway UK)

Liverpool vs. Arsenal preview

Liverpool's title celebrations continue as they welcome an emotionally drained Arsenal side to Anfield in what promises to be a spicy Premier League encounter on Sunday.

The newly-crowned champions stumbled last weekend in a 3-1 defeat to Chelsea but have been imperious at home, remaining unbeaten in their last 15 league matches at Anfield.

Arsenal, meanwhile, arrive in disarray after a devastating Champions League exit to PSG midweek compounded their recent 2-1 Premier League defeat to Bournemouth.

Mikel Arteta's injury-ravaged squad will be without several key figures including Gabriel, Kai Havertz, and Gabriel Jesus as they attempt to protect their second-place position from a crowding pack of chasers.

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah, who has tormented Arsenal with 11 Premier League goals against them, should be eager to add to his impressive 28-goal season tally.

History weighs heavily against the Gunners who haven't won at Anfield in their last 14 visits – a psychological mountain to climb for a team whose season is rapidly unraveling.

Liverpool vs. Arsenal betting tips

Liverpool to Win (11/10)

Arsenal @ Liverpool

Liverpool boast an impressive 14-match unbeaten streak at home against Arsenal, making Anfield a fortress that the Gunners have repeatedly failed to breach.

The Reds' home form this season has been nothing short of exceptional, winning 14 of their 17 league fixtures at Anfield.

Arsenal come into this fixture looking vulnerable after recent setbacks, suggesting they may struggle against Liverpool's home intensity.

Historical trends heavily favor the Merseyside club in this fixture, with Liverpool consistently dominating this matchup on their own turf.

With home advantage and Arsenal's recent struggles, Liverpool should have enough firepower to secure all three points.

Mohamed Salah To Score Anytime (6/4)

Arsenal @ Liverpool

Salah has been in tremendous form this season with 28 goals across all competitions, demonstrating his clinical finishing ability.

The Egyptian forward has an exceptional record against Arsenal, finding the net 11 times throughout his career against the North London side.

As Liverpool's designated penalty taker, Salah has an additional avenue to get on the scoresheet should the opportunity arise.

Arsenal's defense has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches, presenting openings that a predator like Salah will be eager to exploit.

His movement and positioning in the final third make him a constant threat, particularly against teams that push forward like Arsenal.

Correct Score: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal (9/1)

Arsenal @ Liverpool

Liverpool's recent home form shows a pattern of winning matches while conceding, with both teams scoring in five of their last seven Anfield victories.

Arsenal displayed attacking intent in their recent match, registering 19 shots, suggesting they have the firepower to find the net even in defeat.

The historical matchup between these sides at Anfield often produces goals at both ends, making a 2-1 scoreline a realistic outcome.

Liverpool's home advantage typically translates to narrow victories rather than blowouts against top-six opposition.

With Arsenal likely to push forward seeking crucial points, spaces will open up for Liverpool's attack while also allowing the Gunners chances on the counter.

Key stats

1
Liverpool sits atop the table with 82 points from 35 matches, winning 25 games while losing just 3—the fewest defeats in the league.
2
Arsenal holds second place with 67 points, 15 behind Liverpool, despite having the best defensive record in the league (31 goals conceded).
3
Liverpool enters the match in strong form (LWWWL), winning 3 of their last 5, while Arsenal has been less consistent (LDWDD) with just 1 win in their last 5 fixtures.
4
Liverpool's attack has been significantly more productive than Arsenal's this season, netting 81 goals compared to Arsenal's 64 from the same number of matches.