Manchester United welcome West Ham to Old Trafford on Sunday in a clash between two Premier League sides desperately searching for form, with the hosts winless in six league matches and the visitors on an even worse eight-game drought.
Erik ten Hag's men enter the fixture buoyed by their impressive 7-1 aggregate victory over Athletic Bilbao in the Europa League semifinals, though their domestic struggles have left them languishing in the bottom half of the table.
With both teams in relegation form and key injuries affecting their respective lineups, this match represents a crucial opportunity for either side to finally end their winless runs and pull away from the growing threat of a relegation battle.
Manchester Utd vs. West Ham prediction: who will win?
For today's Manchester Utd vs West Ham matchup, our predictive model gives the Red Devils an 80% chance of defeating the Hammers.
Pre-game probabilities
Manchester Utd
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
West Ham
Manchester Utd: 80% win probability
- Home advantage (Manchester United have secured 25 points at home this season)
- Slightly higher league position (15th with 39 points compared to West Ham's 17th with 37 points)
- Better goal difference (-9 compared to West Ham's -19)
West Ham: 20% win probability
- Poor recent form (DLDLD shows they've failed to win in their last 5 matches)
- Defensive vulnerability (59 goals conceded, 8 more than Manchester Utd)
- Away match struggles (West Ham have won fewer points on the road this season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts..
| Manchester Utd | West Ham | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Manchester Utd vs. West Ham preview
Manchester United's euphoric 7-1 aggregate triumph over Athletic Bilbao in the Europa League offers a rare bright spot in what has otherwise been a dismal Premier League campaign, with the Red Devils winless in their last six league matches.
Graham Potter's West Ham find themselves in equally dire straits, sitting just above the relegation zone without a victory in eight games and facing mounting pressure from fans frustrated with both tactics and results.
Sunday's clash at Old Trafford pits two out-of-form sides against each other, with United likely to rotate following Thursday's exertions and with one eye firmly on their upcoming European final against Tottenham.
The Hammers will be looking to captain Jarrod Bowen to provide inspiration, with the forward once again proving his worth by netting in last week's 1-1 draw with Spurs.
Manchester United will have to cope with several absentees including Diogo Dalot, Matthijs de Ligt, Joshua Zirkzee and Lisandro Martínez, while West Ham are without Michail Antonio and Crysencio Summerville.
Recent history suggests a tightly contested affair, with the sides splitting their last six head-to-head meetings evenly at three wins apiece, though the Hammers haven't tasted victory at Old Trafford in their last 16 league visits.
Manchester Utd vs. West Ham form
Manchester Utd vs. West Ham head to head
Manchester Utd
50%
West Ham
50%
Oct 27, 2024
West Ham
2 : 1
Manchester Utd
Feb 4, 2024
Manchester Utd
3 : 0
West Ham
Dec 23, 2023
West Ham
2 : 0
Manchester Utd
May 7, 2023
West Ham
1 : 0
Manchester Utd
Mar 1, 2023
Manchester Utd
3 : 1
West Ham
Oct 30, 2022
Manchester Utd
1 : 0
West Ham
