The Tampa Bay Lightning (21-15-2) welcome the Boston Bruins (20-18-5) to Amalie Arena for a crucial Atlantic Division matchup that could have significant playoff implications.
The Lightning enter the contest riding high with their potent offense averaging 3.68 goals per game, led by the dynamic trio of Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Brandon Hagel who have combined for an impressive 108 goals this season.
The Bruins, meanwhile, find themselves in the midst of a concerning five-game losing streak, with their offense managing just 10 goals during this difficult stretch.
Tampa Bay's stellar goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a difference-maker with a .914 save percentage and 2.36 goals-against average, while Boston's Jeremy Swayman has struggled to find consistency, posting an .893 save percentage.
The contrast between Tampa Bay's high-powered offense and Boston's recent scoring woes sets the stage for what could be a defining moment in both teams' seasons.
As these longtime division rivals prepare to face off, both teams recognize the importance of securing crucial points in an increasingly competitive Atlantic Division race.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 68% chance of defeating the Bruins.
Pre-game probabilities
Tampa Bay Lightning
Moneyline
Win %
68%
32%
Boston Bruins
Tampa Bay Lightning: 68% win probability
- Superior offensive efficiency (140 goals scored in 38 games, 3.68 goals per game)
- Better defensive record (107 goals against in 38 games, 2.82 GAA)
- Higher points percentage (44 points in 38 games, 1.16 points per game)
Boston Bruins: 32% win probability
- Poor recent form (Current 5-game losing streak - LLLLL)
- Defensive struggles (135 goals against in 43 games, 3.14 GAA)
- Lower scoring efficiency (111 goals in 43 games, 2.58 goals per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
67%
Boston Bruins
33%
Mar 27, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 1
Boston Bruins
Feb 14, 2024
Boston Bruins
2 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 7, 2024
Boston Bruins
7 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 21, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 4
Boston Bruins
Mar 25, 2023
Boston Bruins
2 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 27, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 2
Boston Bruins
