The surging Vegas Golden Knights bring their high-powered offense to PPG Paints Arena tonight, where they'll face a Pittsburgh Penguins team that's hit rock bottom in the Metropolitan Division.

While Jack Eichel and Mark Stone have been lighting up scoreboards with a combined 37 goals for Vegas, Sidney Crosby's Penguins have managed just four goals in their last three games and seem unable to find answers to their scoring woes.

The contrast couldn't be starker as the Pacific Division-leading Golden Knights (38-19-6) square off against the home team Penguins (25-31-10) in what's shaping up to be a classic clash between a powerhouse and an underdog desperate to turn their season around.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights matchup, our predictive model gives the Knights a 62.33% chance of defeating the Pens.

Vegas Golden Knights: 62.33% win probability

  • Division leadership (82 points in Pacific Division, 1st place)
  • Strong goal differential (+39 with 213 goals for, 174 against)
  • Excellent recent form (LWWWW in last 5 games)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 37.67% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (242 goals against, worst in Metropolitan Division)
  • Struggling recent form (WLLLL in last 5 games)
  • Low points total (60 points in 66 games, 15th in Eastern Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Vegas Golden Knights and the home team Pittsburgh Penguins, set to face off on Tuesday, March 11.

Pittsburgh PenguinsVegas Golden Knights
Moneyline+180 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)-205 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights preview

The struggling Pittsburgh Penguins face a tough test as they welcome the red-hot Vegas Golden Knights to PPG Paints Arena in what's shaping up to be a classic David versus Goliath matchup.

Vegas has been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with Jack Eichel and Mark Stone's dynamic partnership yielding an impressive 37 goals and 96 assists, while the Pens' offense has hit a concerning slump with just four goals in their last three outings.

Sidney Crosby remains Pittsburgh's bright spot in an otherwise forgettable season, but the team's defensive woes - allowing 3.59 goals per game - have been particularly glaring.

The Knights' blue line duo of McNabb and Pietrangelo has been rock-solid, while netminder Adin Hill's steady .904 save percentage has given Vegas the defensive foundation they've needed to dominate the Pacific Division.

I've got my eye on Vegas' Ivan Barbashev, who's been quietly effective alongside Hertl and Dorofeyev, forming one of the league's most underrated second lines.

The Penguins' goaltending situation hasn't done them any favors, with Alex Nedeljkovic posting a concerning -9.1 goals saved above average, which could spell trouble against Vegas's high-octane offense.

This cross-conference clash might just expose the growing pains of a Penguins team in transition, while showcasing why the Golden Knights remain one of the NHL's most complete teams.

Key stats

  • 1
    Vegas Golden Knights sit 1st in Pacific Division with 82 points while Penguins struggle at 8th in Metropolitan with 60 points
  • 2
    Golden Knights boast a +39 goal difference (213 GF, 174 GA) versus Penguins' concerning -55 differential (187 GF, 242 GA)
  • 3
    Vegas shows strong momentum with LWWWW recent form compared to Pittsburgh's downward trend of WLLLL
  • 4
    Penguins have lost 31 of 66 games played, while Knights have only 19 losses in 63 matches

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights form

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 9, 2025
Minnesota Wild1:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 8, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights4:0Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 5, 2025
Colorado Avalanche4:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs6:5Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 1, 2025
Boston Bruins3:2Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 10, 2025
Los Angeles Kings6:5Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 8, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins0:4Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 6, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs2:5Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 3, 2025
New Jersey Devils0:2Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 28, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks5:7Vegas Golden Knights

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights head to head

Pittsburgh Penguins

50%

Vegas Golden Knights

50%

Mar 8, 2025

Vegas Golden Knights

4 : 0

Pittsburgh Penguins

Jan 21, 2024

Vegas Golden Knights

3 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 19, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

3 : 0

Vegas Golden Knights

Jan 6, 2023

Vegas Golden Knights

5 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 2, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 3

Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 12, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

5 : 2

Vegas Golden Knights