The Memphis Grizzlies aim to build on their recent momentum as they host the Utah Jazz, with Ja Morant coming off a spectacular 29-point, 12-assist performance in their nail-biting victory over the Suns.
While the Jazz showed heart in their recent close battle with the Celtics, erasing a 24-point deficit before falling short, they enter this matchup carrying the weight of a six-game losing streak and questions around the availability of key players Jordan Clarkson and Lauri Markkanen.
The matchup pits the league's most aggressive offense in Memphis, leading the NBA in field goal attempts and third-quarter scoring, against a Utah team struggling to protect the ball with a league-worst 17.4 turnovers per game.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 62.33% chance of defeating the Jazz.
Pre-game probabilities
Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline
Win %
62.33%
37.67%
Utah Jazz
Memphis Grizzlies: 62.33% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7,972 points scored this season, 2nd highest in Western Conference)
- Better win-loss record (41-24 compared to Jazz's 15-50)
- Strong recent performance (3-2 in last 5 games vs Jazz's 0-5 streak)
Utah Jazz: 37.67% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7,784 points against, worst in Western Conference)
- Lowest win percentage in conference (15 wins in 65 games)
- Current five-game losing streak (LLLLL in recent form)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Memphis Grizzlies | Utah Jazz | |
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| Moneyline |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz preview
The struggling Utah Jazz head to Memphis looking to snap their brutal six-game skid, though their gutsy performance against Boston shows there's still some fight left in this young squad.
While the Jazz have been getting solid production from John Collins, who dropped 28 and 10 in their last outing, they'll need to clean up their league-worst 17.4 turnovers per game to have a shot at the upset.
The Grizzlies are riding high on a three-game win streak, with Ja Morant looking like his explosive self after that clutch 29-point, 12-assist masterclass against Phoenix.
Memphis's third-quarter dominance could be the difference-maker here - they're leading the NBA with 32.2 points per frame in the third, which has been Utah's achilles heel all season.
The Jazz's road woes against Western Conference teams (0-12 in their last dozen) don't bode well for their chances at FedExForum, where the Grizzlies have been taking care of business against sub-.500 teams.
Keep an eye on Brice Sensabaugh, who's been a bright spot for Utah with his recent 22-point outburst off the bench, though he'll have his hands full with Memphis's league-leading shot volume.
The potential absence of Jaren Jackson Jr. could open things up inside for Collins and the Jazz frontcourt, but Memphis's depth has stepped up lately with guys like Cam Spencer and GG Jackson making solid contributions.
This one might be closer than the records suggest - Utah's shown they can hang with the big boys, as evidenced by that 24-point comeback against Boston, but Memphis's home-court advantage and momentum should prove too much to overcome.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz form
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz head to head
Memphis Grizzlies
33%
Utah Jazz
67%
Jan 26, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
125 : 103
Utah Jazz
Oct 24, 2024
Utah Jazz
124 : 126
Memphis Grizzlies
Jul 9, 2024
Utah Jazz
97 : 95
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 30, 2023
Memphis Grizzlies
105 : 91
Utah Jazz
Nov 11, 2023
Memphis Grizzlies
121 : 127
Utah Jazz
Nov 2, 2023
Utah Jazz
133 : 109
Memphis Grizzlies
