The surging Edmonton Oilers bring their high-octane offense to Madison Square Garden tonight, where Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl's combined 185 points this season will test the Rangers' sometimes-shaky defense.

While the Rangers have found their scoring touch lately with seven goals in their last two wins, their defensive struggles and Igor Shesterkin's uncharacteristic .906 save percentage could spell trouble against an Oilers team that's tightened up defensively, allowing just four goals in their past two games.

The New York Rangers (33-28-6) look to protect their final Eastern Conference playoff spot as they face off against the Edmonton Oilers (38-24-4) in what promises to be an electric Sunday night showdown at the Garden.

New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 55% chance of defeating the Rangers.

Edmonton Oilers: 55% win probability

  • Potent offense (211 goals scored, 6th in Western Conference)
  • Strong recent momentum (3-2 in last 5 games, WLLWW)
  • Better overall season record (38 wins vs Rangers' 33)

New York Rangers: 45% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (201 goals against, negative goal differential)
  • Poor recent form (3 consecutive losses in last 5 games, WWLLL)
  • Lower points total (72 points vs Oilers' 80 points in fewer games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the New York Rangers host the Edmonton Oilers at home on Sunday, March 16.

New York RangersEdmonton Oilers
Moneyline+126 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-140 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers preview

The red-hot Edmonton Oilers roll into Madison Square Garden looking to bounce back from their recent stumble against the Devils, while the Rangers aim to build on their two-game winning streak.

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have been lighting up the scoreboard for Edmonton with a combined 185 points, but it's their defense that's been turning heads lately - allowing just four goals in their last two outings.

The Rangers' dynamic duo of Artemi Panarin and Mika Zibanejad have kept the Broadway Blueshirts in playoff contention, though their defensive struggles continue to be a concern.

Both teams' goaltending situations tell different stories - Igor Shesterkin hasn't quite found his Vezina-caliber form for New York, while Edmonton's Stuart Skinner looks to shake off some recent inconsistency.

The MSG crowd should be in for a treat watching Adam Fox quarterback the Rangers' power play against Edmonton's Evan Bouchard, who's having a breakout year with 53 points from the blueline.

Keep an eye on Rangers' young gun Alexis Lafreniere, who's finally showing signs of living up to his first-overall pick status as part of New York's secondary scoring punch.

This cross-conference clash at the Garden has all the makings of a chess match between Edmonton's league-leading power play and the Rangers' solid penalty kill unit.

With both teams fighting for playoff positioning and star power on both sides, this Sunday night showdown could easily turn into an instant classic.

Key stats

  • 1
    Rangers sit 8th in Eastern Conference with 72 points while Oilers hold 6th spot in Western with 80 points
  • 2
    Oilers boast stronger recent form (WLLWW) compared to Rangers' mixed results (WWLLL)
  • 3
    Rangers maintain a +2 goal difference (203 scored, 201 against) versus Oilers' +18 (211 scored, 193 against)
  • 4
    Edmonton shows better overall season performance with 38 wins from 66 games, while NY Rangers have 33 wins from 67 games

New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers form

New York Rangers
New York Rangers
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 15, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets0:4New York Rangers
Mar 14, 2025
Minnesota Wild2:3New York Rangers
Mar 12, 2025
Winnipeg Jets2:1New York Rangers
Mar 9, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets7:3New York Rangers
Mar 8, 2025
Ottawa Senators4:3New York Rangers
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 14, 2025
New York Islanders1:2Edmonton Oilers
Mar 13, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:2Edmonton Oilers
Mar 10, 2025
Buffalo Sabres3:2Edmonton Oilers
Mar 9, 2025
Dallas Stars4:5Edmonton Oilers
Mar 7, 2025
Montreal Canadiens2:3Edmonton Oilers

New York Rangers vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head

New York Rangers

50%

Edmonton Oilers

50%

Nov 24, 2024

Edmonton Oilers

6 : 2

New York Rangers

Dec 23, 2023

New York Rangers

3 : 4

Edmonton Oilers

Oct 27, 2023

Edmonton Oilers

0 : 3

New York Rangers

Feb 18, 2023

Edmonton Oilers

4 : 5

New York Rangers

Nov 26, 2022

New York Rangers

3 : 4

Edmonton Oilers

Jan 4, 2022

New York Rangers

4 : 1

Edmonton Oilers